As Hurricane Kiko Heads Toward Hawaii, These Are the Cities Most in Its Path

Kiko formed as a tropical storm on August 31. The system intensified quickly, strengthening to a Category 2 hurricane several days later. On Thursday, Hurricane Kiko reached sustained winds of 145 miles per hour, becoming a Category 4 storm.
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Hurricane Kiko is now heading toward Hawaii while maintaining Category 4 intensity. While the storm is forecast to weaken before making landfall, the forecast cone now includes a majority of the island. The most southeastern parts of the state have a relatively high percentage of experiencing tropical storm force winds – of 39 miles per hour or more – with wind risk stretching as northwest as Honolulu. If Kiko does make landfall as a major hurricane, it would be the first to do so in over 30 years, and put some of the nation’s most expensive real estate at risk. A closer look at the data reveals the cities at the greatest risk of experiencing tropical storm force winds this weekend.
To determine the cities with the greatest risk of experiencing tropical storm force winds this weekend, Climate Crisis 247 reviewed hurricane forecast data from the NOAA’s National Hurricane Center. Cities were ranked based on the probability of experiencing winds of 39 miles per hour or greater. Place boundaries are based on U.S. Census Bureau definitions. Only cities with at least 20,000 residents were considered.
10. Kaneohe, HI (Honolulu County)

- Probability of +39 MPH winds in next five days: <5%
- Total value of occupied homes: $8.5 billion
- Total population: 35,493
9. Waipahu, HI (Honolulu County)

- Probability of +39 MPH winds in next five days: <5%
- Total value of occupied homes: $3.9 billion
- Total population: 39,873
8. Kailua, HI (Honolulu County)

- Probability of +39 MPH winds in next five days: <5%
- Total value of occupied homes: $14.3 billion
- Total population: 40,323
7. Pearl City, HI (Honolulu County)

- Probability of +39 MPH winds in next five days: <5%
- Total value of occupied homes: $9.1 billion
- Total population: 46,812
6. Honolulu, HI (Honolulu County)

- Probability of +39 MPH winds in next five days: <5%
- Total value of occupied homes: $62.8 billion
- Total population: 348,547
5. East Honolulu, HI (Honolulu County)

- Probability of +39 MPH winds in next five days: 5-10%
- Total value of occupied homes: $19.1 billion
- Total population: 49,491
4. Kailua, HI (Hawaii County)

- Probability of +39 MPH winds in next five days: 10-20%
- Total value of occupied homes: $3.3 billion
- Total population: 21,449
3. Kihei, HI (Maui County)

- Probability of +39 MPH winds in next five days: 10-20%
- Total value of occupied homes: $4.5 billion
- Total population: 22,247
2. Kahului, HI (Maui County)

- Probability of +39 MPH winds in next five days: 10-20%
- Total value of occupied homes: $4.1 billion
- Total population: 27,233
1. Hilo, HI (Hawaii County)

- Probability of +39 MPH winds in next five days: 10-20%
- Total value of occupied homes: $5.0 billion
- Total population: 47,627
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