These Cities Are About to Get Slammed With Severe Weather for Third Week in a Row

By Evan Comen  •  April 28, 2025
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A powerful storm system is poised to bring severe weather to a wide swath of the central United States this week, putting millions of Americans at risk of damaging winds, large hail, and tornadoes. According to forecasts from the National Weather Service’s Storm Prediction Center, parts of the Plains, Midwest, and Upper Mississippi Valley face heightened chances for dangerous storms through Tuesday.

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There is at least a 10% chance of tornadoes in over 80 major cities, affecting over five million Americans. There is at least a 25% chance of hail in 89 cities, affecting more than six million Americans. In seven cities with populations greater than 75,000, there is a 15% chance of tornado, a 45% chance of severe thunderstorms, and a 10% chance of hail. A closer look at the data reveals the major cities in the path of severe weather this week.

To determine the cities in the path of severe weather this week, Climate Crisis 247 reviewed data on significant severe thunderstorm, thunderstorm winds, and tornado probability forecasts from the National Weather Service of the NOAA. Cities were ranked based on the probability of experiencing a significant severe thunderstorm, significant tornado, significant hail event, regular tornado, or regular hail event within 25 miles of their border from April 28 to April 29, 2025. Probabilities for individual severe weather phenomena were normalized and combined into one index score. Supplemental data on the total value of owner-occupied homes and population are from the U.S. Census Bureau. Only cities with at least 75,000 residents were considered.

25. Omaha, NE

Photo by Jesse Duering on Unsplash

  • Probability of significant severe thunderstorm in next 48 hours: 3.9%
  • Probability of tornado in next 48 hours: 5.0%
  • Probability of hail in next 48 hours: 28.4%
  • Value of all homes: $28.8 billion
  • Population: 489,201
 

24. Lawton, OK

Photo by Lillian Fisher on Unsplash

  • Probability of significant severe thunderstorm in next 48 hours: 10.0%
  • Probability of tornado in next 48 hours: 3.1%
  • Probability of hail in next 48 hours: 15.0%
  • Value of all homes: $3.0 billion
  • Population: 91,023
 

23. Edmond, OK

Photo by Tommy Bond on Unsplash

  • Probability of significant severe thunderstorm in next 48 hours: 10.0%
  • Probability of tornado in next 48 hours: 5.0%
  • Probability of hail in next 48 hours: 15.0%
  • Value of all homes: $9.7 billion
  • Population: 94,503
 

22. Lee's Summit, MO

Photo by Markus Spiske on Unsplash

  • Probability of significant severe thunderstorm in next 48 hours: 10.0%
  • Probability of tornado in next 48 hours: 5.0%
  • Probability of hail in next 48 hours: 15.0%
  • Value of all homes: $9.5 billion
  • Population: 101,728
 

21. Olathe, KS

Photo by Benjamin White on Pexels

  • Probability of significant severe thunderstorm in next 48 hours: 10.0%
  • Probability of tornado in next 48 hours: 5.0%
  • Probability of hail in next 48 hours: 15.0%
  • Value of all homes: $12.6 billion
  • Population: 142,114
 

20. Wichita, KS

Photo by Tommy Bond on Unsplash

  • Probability of significant severe thunderstorm in next 48 hours: 10.0%
  • Probability of tornado in next 48 hours: 5.0%
  • Probability of hail in next 48 hours: 15.0%
  • Value of all homes: $19.0 billion
  • Population: 395,951
 

19. Overland Park, KS

Photo by David McBee on Pexels

  • Probability of significant severe thunderstorm in next 48 hours: 10.0%
  • Probability of tornado in next 48 hours: 5.0%
  • Probability of hail in next 48 hours: 15.4%
  • Value of all homes: $20.7 billion
  • Population: 196,676
 

18. Lawrence, KS

Photo by Inna Safa on Unsplash

  • Probability of significant severe thunderstorm in next 48 hours: 10.0%
  • Probability of tornado in next 48 hours: 5.0%
  • Probability of hail in next 48 hours: 21.9%
  • Value of all homes: $5.3 billion
  • Population: 95,103
 

17. Topeka, KS

Photo by Joshua Woroniecki on Unsplash

  • Probability of significant severe thunderstorm in next 48 hours: 10.0%
  • Probability of tornado in next 48 hours: 5.0%
  • Probability of hail in next 48 hours: 24.1%
  • Value of all homes: $4.7 billion
  • Population: 126,431
 

16. Kansas City, MO

Photo by Rô Acunha on Pexels

  • Probability of significant severe thunderstorm in next 48 hours: 10.0%
  • Probability of tornado in next 48 hours: 5.0%
  • Probability of hail in next 48 hours: 24.5%
  • Value of all homes: $29.2 billion
  • Population: 505,958
 

15. Independence, MO

Photo by Christian Lue on Unsplash

  • Probability of significant severe thunderstorm in next 48 hours: 10.0%
  • Probability of tornado in next 48 hours: 5.0%
  • Probability of hail in next 48 hours: 28.6%
  • Value of all homes: $5.4 billion
  • Population: 122,218
 

14. Kansas City, KS

Photo by Branden Stephenson on Pexels

  • Probability of significant severe thunderstorm in next 48 hours: 10.0%
  • Probability of tornado in next 48 hours: 5.0%
  • Probability of hail in next 48 hours: 30.0%
  • Value of all homes: $5.8 billion
  • Population: 155,438
 

13. Green Bay, WI

Photo by Gary Meulemans on Unsplash

  • Probability of significant severe thunderstorm in next 48 hours: 0.0%
  • Probability of tornado in next 48 hours: 10.0%
  • Probability of hail in next 48 hours: 30.0%
  • Value of all homes: $5.0 billion
  • Population: 106,846
 

12. Appleton, WI

Photo by Niko Vassios on Unsplash

  • Probability of significant severe thunderstorm in next 48 hours: 0.0%
  • Probability of tornado in next 48 hours: 10.0%
  • Probability of hail in next 48 hours: 30.0%
  • Value of all homes: $4.7 billion
  • Population: 75,133
 

11. Davenport, IA

Photo by Isaiah Borgos on Pexels

  • Probability of significant severe thunderstorm in next 48 hours: 0.7%
  • Probability of tornado in next 48 hours: 10.0%
  • Probability of hail in next 48 hours: 30.0%
  • Value of all homes: $4.9 billion
  • Population: 101,448
 

10. Madison, WI

Photo by Alek Olson on Unsplash

  • Probability of significant severe thunderstorm in next 48 hours: 1.1%
  • Probability of tornado in next 48 hours: 10.0%
  • Probability of hail in next 48 hours: 30.0%
  • Value of all homes: $20.5 billion
  • Population: 268,516
 

9. Cedar Rapids, IA

Photo by Ryan De Hamer on Unsplash

  • Probability of significant severe thunderstorm in next 48 hours: 10.0%
  • Probability of tornado in next 48 hours: 10.0%
  • Probability of hail in next 48 hours: 30.0%
  • Value of all homes: $8.1 billion
  • Population: 136,929
 

8. Des Moines, IA

Photo by Drew Dau on Unsplash

  • Probability of significant severe thunderstorm in next 48 hours: 10.0%
  • Probability of tornado in next 48 hours: 10.0%
  • Probability of hail in next 48 hours: 30.0%
  • Value of all homes: $10.5 billion
  • Population: 213,164
 

7. Woodbury, MN

Photo by Adriaan Greyling on Pexels

  • Probability of significant severe thunderstorm in next 48 hours: 10.0%
  • Probability of tornado in next 48 hours: 15.0%
  • Probability of hail in next 48 hours: 30.0%
  • Value of all homes: $9.6 billion
  • Population: 75,549
 

6. Plymouth, MN

Photo by Bl∡ke on Pexels

  • Probability of significant severe thunderstorm in next 48 hours: 10.0%
  • Probability of tornado in next 48 hours: 15.0%
  • Probability of hail in next 48 hours: 30.0%
  • Value of all homes: $11.5 billion
  • Population: 79,918
 

5. Brooklyn Park, MN

Photo by Bl∡ke on Pexels

  • Probability of significant severe thunderstorm in next 48 hours: 10.0%
  • Probability of tornado in next 48 hours: 15.0%
  • Probability of hail in next 48 hours: 30.0%
  • Value of all homes: $6.3 billion
  • Population: 84,951
 

4. Bloomington, MN

Photo by Chris Flaten on Pexels

  • Probability of significant severe thunderstorm in next 48 hours: 10.0%
  • Probability of tornado in next 48 hours: 15.0%
  • Probability of hail in next 48 hours: 30.0%
  • Value of all homes: $8.8 billion
  • Population: 89,244
 

3. Rochester, MN

Photo by Tom Fisk on Pexels

  • Probability of significant severe thunderstorm in next 48 hours: 10.0%
  • Probability of tornado in next 48 hours: 15.0%
  • Probability of hail in next 48 hours: 30.0%
  • Value of all homes: $10.2 billion
  • Population: 120,848
 

2. St. Paul, MN

Photo by Thomas Parker on Pexels

  • Probability of significant severe thunderstorm in next 48 hours: 10.0%
  • Probability of tornado in next 48 hours: 15.0%
  • Probability of hail in next 48 hours: 30.0%
  • Value of all homes: $21.1 billion
  • Population: 308,806
 

1. Minneapolis, MN

Photo by Josh Hild on Pexels

  • Probability of significant severe thunderstorm in next 48 hours: 10.0%
  • Probability of tornado in next 48 hours: 15.0%
  • Probability of hail in next 48 hours: 30.0%
  • Value of all homes: $35.5 billion
  • Population: 426,877
 

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