From Minnesota to Texas, 25 Cities Forecasted To Get Hit Hard By Storms, Flash Floods This Week

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This week, abnormally warm temperatures in the Gulf of Mexico and high moisture concentrations are fueling a storm sweeping across central Texas and the Southern Plains. The system is pushing north along the I-35 corridor, bringing a dangerous mix of torrential rain and severe thunderstorms to cities like Austin, Waco, and Temple. With up to six inches of rain forecast in some parts of the country, millions of Americans are bracing for damaging winds, flash flooding, and power outages.

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The National Weather Service has issued severe thunderstorm warnings for 35 counties, representing more than four million Americans. There are fourteen counties forecast to receive more than four inches of rain in the next 72 hours, and seven counties are under flash flood watch. A closer look at the data reveals the cities where severe thunderstorms will bring the most rain this week.

To determine the cities where severe thunderstorms will bring the most rain this week, Climate Crisis 247 reviewed data on quantitative precipitation and severe thunderstorm probability forecasts from the National Weather Service of the NOAA. Cities were ranked based on total forecast cumulative rainfall for the period June 11 to 13, 2025. Only cities with at least 50,000 residents and a non-zero chance of experiencing severe thunderstorms during the period were considered. Population data is from the U.S. Census Bureau.

25. Edina, MN

Photo by Skylar Zilka on Unsplash

  • Forecast cumulative rainfall for next 72 hours: 1.8 inches
  • Forecast severe thunderstorm probability for next 72 hours: 5.0%
  • Forecast average temperature for next 72 hours: 66.9°F
  • Population: 53,037
 

24. Houston, TX

Photo by Jeswin Thomas on Unsplash

  • Forecast cumulative rainfall for next 72 hours: 1.8 inches
  • Forecast severe thunderstorm probability for next 72 hours: 1.4%
  • Forecast average temperature for next 72 hours: 83.7°F
  • Population: 2,296,253
 

23. Plymouth, MN

Photo by Skylar Zilka on Unsplash

  • Forecast cumulative rainfall for next 72 hours: 1.8 inches
  • Forecast severe thunderstorm probability for next 72 hours: 5.0%
  • Forecast average temperature for next 72 hours: 66.1°F
  • Population: 79,918
 

22. Apple Valley, MN

Photo by weston m on Unsplash

  • Forecast cumulative rainfall for next 72 hours: 1.8 inches
  • Forecast severe thunderstorm probability for next 72 hours: 5.0%
  • Forecast average temperature for next 72 hours: 65.4°F
  • Population: 55,594
 

21. Eden Prairie, MN

Photo by Tom Fisk on Pexels

  • Forecast cumulative rainfall for next 72 hours: 1.8 inches
  • Forecast severe thunderstorm probability for next 72 hours: 5.0%
  • Forecast average temperature for next 72 hours: 66.2°F
  • Population: 63,623
 

20. Burnsville, MN

Photo by Tom Fisk on Pexels

  • Forecast cumulative rainfall for next 72 hours: 1.8 inches
  • Forecast severe thunderstorm probability for next 72 hours: 5.0%
  • Forecast average temperature for next 72 hours: 66.0°F
  • Population: 64,075
 

19. Minnetonka, MN

Photo by Bl∡ke on Pexels

  • Forecast cumulative rainfall for next 72 hours: 1.9 inches
  • Forecast severe thunderstorm probability for next 72 hours: 5.0%
  • Forecast average temperature for next 72 hours: 66.4°F
  • Population: 53,529
 

18. Lakeville, MN

Photo by weston m on Unsplash

  • Forecast cumulative rainfall for next 72 hours: 1.9 inches
  • Forecast severe thunderstorm probability for next 72 hours: 5.0%
  • Forecast average temperature for next 72 hours: 64.9°F
  • Population: 70,696
 

17. College Station, TX

Photo by Christian Lue on Unsplash

  • Forecast cumulative rainfall for next 72 hours: 2.0 inches
  • Forecast severe thunderstorm probability for next 72 hours: 5.0%
  • Forecast average temperature for next 72 hours: 80.9°F
  • Population: 120,451
 

16. San Angelo, TX

Photo by Kaushal Moradiya on Pexels

  • Forecast cumulative rainfall for next 72 hours: 2.1 inches
  • Forecast severe thunderstorm probability for next 72 hours: 4.6%
  • Forecast average temperature for next 72 hours: 75.0°F
  • Population: 99,422
 

15. Rochester, MN

Photo by Cody Otto on Unsplash

  • Forecast cumulative rainfall for next 72 hours: 2.1 inches
  • Forecast severe thunderstorm probability for next 72 hours: 5.0%
  • Forecast average temperature for next 72 hours: 66.6°F
  • Population: 120,848
 

14. Waterloo, IA

Photo by Shawn Schroeder on Unsplash

  • Forecast cumulative rainfall for next 72 hours: 2.4 inches
  • Forecast severe thunderstorm probability for next 72 hours: 5.0%
  • Forecast average temperature for next 72 hours: 74.0°F
  • Population: 67,256
 

13. Bryan, TX

Photo by NOAA on Unsplash

  • Forecast cumulative rainfall for next 72 hours: 2.5 inches
  • Forecast severe thunderstorm probability for next 72 hours: 5.0%
  • Forecast average temperature for next 72 hours: 80.7°F
  • Population: 84,820
 

12. San Antonio, TX

Photo by weston m on Unsplash

  • Forecast cumulative rainfall for next 72 hours: 2.8 inches
  • Forecast severe thunderstorm probability for next 72 hours: 5.0%
  • Forecast average temperature for next 72 hours: 81.4°F
  • Population: 1,445,662
 

11. New Braunfels, TX

Photo by Victor Martinez on Pexels

  • Forecast cumulative rainfall for next 72 hours: 2.8 inches
  • Forecast severe thunderstorm probability for next 72 hours: 5.0%
  • Forecast average temperature for next 72 hours: 80.7°F
  • Population: 92,993
 

10. San Marcos, TX

Photo by Roberto Gonzalez on Pexels

  • Forecast cumulative rainfall for next 72 hours: 2.9 inches
  • Forecast severe thunderstorm probability for next 72 hours: 5.0%
  • Forecast average temperature for next 72 hours: 80.2°F
  • Population: 67,143
 

9. Austin, TX

Photo by Carlos Delgado on Unsplash

  • Forecast cumulative rainfall for next 72 hours: 4.0 inches
  • Forecast severe thunderstorm probability for next 72 hours: 5.0%
  • Forecast average temperature for next 72 hours: 80.5°F
  • Population: 958,202
 

8. Pflugerville, TX

Photo by Luis Rodriguez on Unsplash

  • Forecast cumulative rainfall for next 72 hours: 4.1 inches
  • Forecast severe thunderstorm probability for next 72 hours: 5.0%
  • Forecast average temperature for next 72 hours: 79.8°F
  • Population: 64,528
 

7. Killeen, TX

Photo by José Reyes on Unsplash

  • Forecast cumulative rainfall for next 72 hours: 4.2 inches
  • Forecast severe thunderstorm probability for next 72 hours: 5.0%
  • Forecast average temperature for next 72 hours: 77.3°F
  • Population: 153,708
 

6. Round Rock, TX

Photo by Luis Rodriguez on Unsplash

  • Forecast cumulative rainfall for next 72 hours: 4.3 inches
  • Forecast severe thunderstorm probability for next 72 hours: 5.0%
  • Forecast average temperature for next 72 hours: 79.7°F
  • Population: 120,465
 

5. Cedar Park, TX

Photo by Luis Rodriguez on Unsplash

  • Forecast cumulative rainfall for next 72 hours: 4.5 inches
  • Forecast severe thunderstorm probability for next 72 hours: 5.0%
  • Forecast average temperature for next 72 hours: 78.3°F
  • Population: 76,344
 

4. Georgetown, TX

Photo by David Banning on Unsplash

  • Forecast cumulative rainfall for next 72 hours: 4.6 inches
  • Forecast severe thunderstorm probability for next 72 hours: 5.0%
  • Forecast average temperature for next 72 hours: 79.0°F
  • Population: 71,788
 

3. Leander, TX

Photo by adamtepl on Pixabay

  • Forecast cumulative rainfall for next 72 hours: 4.6 inches
  • Forecast severe thunderstorm probability for next 72 hours: 5.0%
  • Forecast average temperature for next 72 hours: 78.1°F
  • Population: 62,491
 

2. Waco, TX

Photo by Daniel on Unsplash

  • Forecast cumulative rainfall for next 72 hours: 5.3 inches
  • Forecast severe thunderstorm probability for next 72 hours: 5.0%
  • Forecast average temperature for next 72 hours: 76.5°F
  • Population: 140,545
 

1. Temple, TX

Photo by David Banning on Unsplash

  • Forecast cumulative rainfall for next 72 hours: 5.8 inches
  • Forecast severe thunderstorm probability for next 72 hours: 5.0%
  • Forecast average temperature for next 72 hours: 77.5°F
  • Population: 83,473
 

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