From Minnesota to Texas, 25 Cities Forecasted To Get Hit Hard By Storms, Flash Floods This Week

This week, abnormally warm temperatures in the Gulf of Mexico and high moisture concentrations are fueling a storm sweeping across central Texas and the Southern Plains. The system is pushing north along the I-35 corridor, bringing a dangerous mix of torrential rain and severe thunderstorms to cities like Austin, Waco, and Temple. With up to six inches of rain forecast in some parts of the country, millions of Americans are bracing for damaging winds, flash flooding, and power outages.
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The National Weather Service has issued severe thunderstorm warnings for 35 counties, representing more than four million Americans. There are fourteen counties forecast to receive more than four inches of rain in the next 72 hours, and seven counties are under flash flood watch. A closer look at the data reveals the cities where severe thunderstorms will bring the most rain this week.
To determine the cities where severe thunderstorms will bring the most rain this week, Climate Crisis 247 reviewed data on quantitative precipitation and severe thunderstorm probability forecasts from the National Weather Service of the NOAA. Cities were ranked based on total forecast cumulative rainfall for the period June 11 to 13, 2025. Only cities with at least 50,000 residents and a non-zero chance of experiencing severe thunderstorms during the period were considered. Population data is from the U.S. Census Bureau.
25. Edina, MN

- Forecast cumulative rainfall for next 72 hours: 1.8 inches
- Forecast severe thunderstorm probability for next 72 hours: 5.0%
- Forecast average temperature for next 72 hours: 66.9°F
- Population: 53,037
24. Houston, TX

- Forecast cumulative rainfall for next 72 hours: 1.8 inches
- Forecast severe thunderstorm probability for next 72 hours: 1.4%
- Forecast average temperature for next 72 hours: 83.7°F
- Population: 2,296,253
23. Plymouth, MN

- Forecast cumulative rainfall for next 72 hours: 1.8 inches
- Forecast severe thunderstorm probability for next 72 hours: 5.0%
- Forecast average temperature for next 72 hours: 66.1°F
- Population: 79,918
22. Apple Valley, MN

- Forecast cumulative rainfall for next 72 hours: 1.8 inches
- Forecast severe thunderstorm probability for next 72 hours: 5.0%
- Forecast average temperature for next 72 hours: 65.4°F
- Population: 55,594
21. Eden Prairie, MN

- Forecast cumulative rainfall for next 72 hours: 1.8 inches
- Forecast severe thunderstorm probability for next 72 hours: 5.0%
- Forecast average temperature for next 72 hours: 66.2°F
- Population: 63,623
20. Burnsville, MN

- Forecast cumulative rainfall for next 72 hours: 1.8 inches
- Forecast severe thunderstorm probability for next 72 hours: 5.0%
- Forecast average temperature for next 72 hours: 66.0°F
- Population: 64,075
19. Minnetonka, MN

- Forecast cumulative rainfall for next 72 hours: 1.9 inches
- Forecast severe thunderstorm probability for next 72 hours: 5.0%
- Forecast average temperature for next 72 hours: 66.4°F
- Population: 53,529
18. Lakeville, MN

- Forecast cumulative rainfall for next 72 hours: 1.9 inches
- Forecast severe thunderstorm probability for next 72 hours: 5.0%
- Forecast average temperature for next 72 hours: 64.9°F
- Population: 70,696
17. College Station, TX

- Forecast cumulative rainfall for next 72 hours: 2.0 inches
- Forecast severe thunderstorm probability for next 72 hours: 5.0%
- Forecast average temperature for next 72 hours: 80.9°F
- Population: 120,451
16. San Angelo, TX

- Forecast cumulative rainfall for next 72 hours: 2.1 inches
- Forecast severe thunderstorm probability for next 72 hours: 4.6%
- Forecast average temperature for next 72 hours: 75.0°F
- Population: 99,422
15. Rochester, MN

- Forecast cumulative rainfall for next 72 hours: 2.1 inches
- Forecast severe thunderstorm probability for next 72 hours: 5.0%
- Forecast average temperature for next 72 hours: 66.6°F
- Population: 120,848
14. Waterloo, IA

- Forecast cumulative rainfall for next 72 hours: 2.4 inches
- Forecast severe thunderstorm probability for next 72 hours: 5.0%
- Forecast average temperature for next 72 hours: 74.0°F
- Population: 67,256
13. Bryan, TX

- Forecast cumulative rainfall for next 72 hours: 2.5 inches
- Forecast severe thunderstorm probability for next 72 hours: 5.0%
- Forecast average temperature for next 72 hours: 80.7°F
- Population: 84,820
12. San Antonio, TX

- Forecast cumulative rainfall for next 72 hours: 2.8 inches
- Forecast severe thunderstorm probability for next 72 hours: 5.0%
- Forecast average temperature for next 72 hours: 81.4°F
- Population: 1,445,662
11. New Braunfels, TX

- Forecast cumulative rainfall for next 72 hours: 2.8 inches
- Forecast severe thunderstorm probability for next 72 hours: 5.0%
- Forecast average temperature for next 72 hours: 80.7°F
- Population: 92,993
10. San Marcos, TX

- Forecast cumulative rainfall for next 72 hours: 2.9 inches
- Forecast severe thunderstorm probability for next 72 hours: 5.0%
- Forecast average temperature for next 72 hours: 80.2°F
- Population: 67,143
9. Austin, TX

- Forecast cumulative rainfall for next 72 hours: 4.0 inches
- Forecast severe thunderstorm probability for next 72 hours: 5.0%
- Forecast average temperature for next 72 hours: 80.5°F
- Population: 958,202
8. Pflugerville, TX

- Forecast cumulative rainfall for next 72 hours: 4.1 inches
- Forecast severe thunderstorm probability for next 72 hours: 5.0%
- Forecast average temperature for next 72 hours: 79.8°F
- Population: 64,528
7. Killeen, TX

- Forecast cumulative rainfall for next 72 hours: 4.2 inches
- Forecast severe thunderstorm probability for next 72 hours: 5.0%
- Forecast average temperature for next 72 hours: 77.3°F
- Population: 153,708
6. Round Rock, TX

- Forecast cumulative rainfall for next 72 hours: 4.3 inches
- Forecast severe thunderstorm probability for next 72 hours: 5.0%
- Forecast average temperature for next 72 hours: 79.7°F
- Population: 120,465
5. Cedar Park, TX

- Forecast cumulative rainfall for next 72 hours: 4.5 inches
- Forecast severe thunderstorm probability for next 72 hours: 5.0%
- Forecast average temperature for next 72 hours: 78.3°F
- Population: 76,344
4. Georgetown, TX

- Forecast cumulative rainfall for next 72 hours: 4.6 inches
- Forecast severe thunderstorm probability for next 72 hours: 5.0%
- Forecast average temperature for next 72 hours: 79.0°F
- Population: 71,788
3. Leander, TX

- Forecast cumulative rainfall for next 72 hours: 4.6 inches
- Forecast severe thunderstorm probability for next 72 hours: 5.0%
- Forecast average temperature for next 72 hours: 78.1°F
- Population: 62,491
2. Waco, TX

- Forecast cumulative rainfall for next 72 hours: 5.3 inches
- Forecast severe thunderstorm probability for next 72 hours: 5.0%
- Forecast average temperature for next 72 hours: 76.5°F
- Population: 140,545
1. Temple, TX

- Forecast cumulative rainfall for next 72 hours: 5.8 inches
- Forecast severe thunderstorm probability for next 72 hours: 5.0%
- Forecast average temperature for next 72 hours: 77.5°F
- Population: 83,473
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