From Orlando to Texas, Expect Freezing Temperatures, Abnormal Lows in These Cities This Weekend

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As a cold front moves southeast and collides with the remnants of Tropical Storm Sara, millions of Americans will experience subnormal, freezing temperatures for the first time this fall. Over the next 72 hours, temperatures will fall more than 8°F below historical November normals in 87 major cities, affecting more than five million people.

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While daily lows usually stay above freezing in Northwest Arkansas and the North Carolina Central Coastal Plain in November, temperatures in cities like Fayetteville and Rogers in Arkansas and Greenville and Jacksonville in North Carolina are forecast to fall below 32°F over the weekend. But the most abnormally cold weather will be in Central Florida, where temperatures are projected to dip more than 10°F below historical normals. A closer look at the data reveals the major cities where temperatures will be abnormally low for the next three days..

To determine the cities where it will be abnormally cold this weekend, Climate Crisis 247 reviewed raster data on minimum air temperature forecasts for the next three days from the NOAA’s National Digital Forecast Database. Cities were ranked based on the difference between the minimum forecast overnight temperature for November 22 to 24, 2024 and historical average monthly minimum temperatures for November in the years 1901 to 2000. Data on historical climate normals for November 1901 to 2000 are from the NOAA and are at the county level. Only the largest city in each county was considered. Population data are from the U.S. Census Bureau’s American Community Survey and are five-year estimates for 2022.

25. Flagstaff, AZ (Coconino County)

• Forecast minimum temperature, Nov. 22-24: 19.9°F (-7.8°F below normal)
• Normal November minimum, 1901-2000: 27.6°F
• Total population: 76,177

 

24. Rogers, AR (Benton County)

• Forecast minimum temperature, Nov. 22-24: 27.7°F (-8.0°F below normal)
• Normal November minimum, 1901-2000: 35.7°F
• Total population: 69,961

 

23. Prescott Valley, AZ (Yavapai County)

• Forecast minimum temperature, Nov. 22-24: 26.6°F (-8.0°F below normal)
• Normal November minimum, 1901-2000: 34.7°F
• Total population: 47,015

 

22. Orlando, FL (Orange County)

• Forecast minimum temperature, Nov. 22-24: 47.5°F (-8.2°F below normal)
• Normal November minimum, 1901-2000: 55.7°F
• Total population: 307,738

 

21. Jacksonville, NC (Onslow County)

• Forecast minimum temperature, Nov. 22-24: 32.8°F (-8.3°F below normal)
• Normal November minimum, 1901-2000: 41.0°F
• Total population: 71,908

 

20. Greenville, NC (Pitt County)

• Forecast minimum temperature, Nov. 22-24: 31.0°F (-8.4°F below normal)
• Normal November minimum, 1901-2000: 39.4°F
• Total population: 87,894

 

19. Fayetteville, AR (Washington County)

• Forecast minimum temperature, Nov. 22-24: 27.6°F (-8.5°F below normal)
• Normal November minimum, 1901-2000: 36.1°F
• Total population: 95,022

 

18. New Iberia, LA (Iberia Parish)

• Forecast minimum temperature, Nov. 22-24: 40.9°F (-8.8°F below normal)
• Normal November minimum, 1901-2000: 49.7°F
• Total population: 28,363

 

17. The Villages, FL (Sumter County)

• Forecast minimum temperature, Nov. 22-24: 43.8°F (-8.8°F below normal)
• Normal November minimum, 1901-2000: 52.6°F
• Total population: 79,108

 

16. Lakeside, FL (Clay County)

• Forecast minimum temperature, Nov. 22-24: 41.8°F (-9.0°F below normal)
• Normal November minimum, 1901-2000: 50.8°F
• Total population: 30,973

 

15. Palm Coast, FL (Flagler County)

• Forecast minimum temperature, Nov. 22-24: 44.8°F (-9.0°F below normal)
• Normal November minimum, 1901-2000: 53.8°F
• Total population: 91,082

 

14. Slidell, LA (St. Tammany Parish)

• Forecast minimum temperature, Nov. 22-24: 37.5°F (-9.2°F below normal)
• Normal November minimum, 1901-2000: 46.7°F
• Total population: 28,690

 

13. New Bern, NC (Craven County)

• Forecast minimum temperature, Nov. 22-24: 31.6°F (-9.4°F below normal)
• Normal November minimum, 1901-2000: 41.0°F
• Total population: 31,373

 

12. Kissimmee, FL (Osceola County)

• Forecast minimum temperature, Nov. 22-24: 47.0°F (-9.4°F below normal)
• Normal November minimum, 1901-2000: 56.4°F
• Total population: 78,478

 

11. Crestview, FL (Okaloosa County)

• Forecast minimum temperature, Nov. 22-24: 35.9°F (-9.8°F below normal)
• Normal November minimum, 1901-2000: 45.6°F
• Total population: 27,427

 

10. Ocala, FL (Marion County)

• Forecast minimum temperature, Nov. 22-24: 41.6°F (-9.9°F below normal)
• Normal November minimum, 1901-2000: 51.5°F
• Total population: 63,504

 

9. Sanford, FL (Seminole County)

• Forecast minimum temperature, Nov. 22-24: 45.3°F (-10.3°F below normal)
• Normal November minimum, 1901-2000: 55.6°F
• Total population: 61,272

 

8. Houma, LA (Terrebonne Parish)

• Forecast minimum temperature, Nov. 22-24: 41.3°F (-10.5°F below normal)
• Normal November minimum, 1901-2000: 51.7°F
• Total population: 33,094

 

7. Vero Beach South, FL (Indian River County)

• Forecast minimum temperature, Nov. 22-24: 48.0°F (-10.6°F below normal)
• Normal November minimum, 1901-2000: 58.5°F
• Total population: 29,965

 

6. Victoria, TX (Victoria County)

• Forecast minimum temperature, Nov. 22-24: 39.4°F (-11.1°F below normal)
• Normal November minimum, 1901-2000: 50.6°F
• Total population: 65,481

 

5. Deltona, FL (Volusia County)

• Forecast minimum temperature, Nov. 22-24: 43.8°F (-11.1°F below normal)
• Normal November minimum, 1901-2000: 55.0°F
• Total population: 94,373

 

4. Kingsville, TX (Kleberg County)

• Forecast minimum temperature, Nov. 22-24: 43.7°F (-11.7°F below normal)
• Normal November minimum, 1901-2000: 55.4°F
• Total population: 25,265

 

3. Palm Bay, FL (Brevard County)

• Forecast minimum temperature, Nov. 22-24: 46.1°F (-12.6°F below normal)
• Normal November minimum, 1901-2000: 58.7°F
• Total population: 121,513

 

2. Port St. Lucie, FL (St. Lucie County)

• Forecast minimum temperature, Nov. 22-24: 47.0°F (-12.9°F below normal)
• Normal November minimum, 1901-2000: 59.9°F
• Total population: 210,520

 

1. Palm City, FL (Martin County)

• Forecast minimum temperature, Nov. 22-24: 47.3°F (-13.2°F below normal)
• Normal November minimum, 1901-2000: 60.5°F
• Total population: 25,957

 

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