‘Heat Dome’ Covers Southern US; These Cities Could See Record Highs

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This week, select parts of the southern and central United States are in the grip of an intense heat dome. A pronounced ridge in the jet stream is allowing hot, stagnant air to settle over the Southwest, Southern Plains, and parts of the Southeast, ushering in high temperatures more typical of mid-summer than late May.

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In Texas, cities like San Antonio are forecast to reach 101°F – potentially breaking daily records – while Phoenix faces highs of up to 106°F and sultry overnight lows in the mid-70s. Temperatures in dozens of cities are forecast to exceed historical normals by more than five degrees, while several major cities are forecast to see temperatures more than 20°F above normal. A closer look at the data reveals the U.S. cities where it will be abnormally hot this week.

To determine the cities where it will be abnormally warm this week, Climate Crisis 247 reviewed 72-hour temperature forecasts and historical station-level daily temperature readings from the NOAA. Cities were ranked based on the difference between the forecast minimum temperature for May 22-24, 2025, and the average observed minimum temperature for May 22-24 from 2006 to 2020. Gridded forecast data are from the National Digital Forecast Database, while historical temperature normals are from the Global Historical Climatology Network daily program of the National Centers for Environmental Information. Weather stations were matched to places using nearest neighbor analysis and were limited to cities within 50 miles of the city centroid. Only cities with at least 50,000 residents were considered.

25. Hemet, CA

Photo by Raimond Klavins on Unsplash

  • Forecast average, May 22-24: 74.3°F (+6.7°F above climate normal)
  • Normal May 22-24 average, 2006-2020: 67.6°F
  • Total population: 89,651
 

24. Lake Havasu City, AZ

Photo by Mason Field on Unsplash

  • Forecast average, May 22-24: 88.8°F (+6.8°F above climate normal)
  • Normal May 22-24 average, 2006-2020: 82.0°F
  • Total population: 57,294
 

23. San Diego, CA

Photo by Justin Wolff on Unsplash

  • Forecast average, May 22-24: 66.7°F (+6.9°F above climate normal)
  • Normal May 22-24 average, 2006-2020: 59.8°F
  • Total population: 1,383,987
 

22. Abilene, TX

Photo by Matthew Jungling on Unsplash

  • Forecast average, May 22-24: 82.0°F (+7.1°F above climate normal)
  • Normal May 22-24 average, 2006-2020: 75.0°F
  • Total population: 126,356
 

21. Aurora, CO

Photo by Acton Crawford on Unsplash

  • Forecast average, May 22-24: 64.4°F (+7.2°F above climate normal)
  • Normal May 22-24 average, 2006-2020: 57.2°F
  • Total population: 387,349
 

20. Grand Junction, CO

Photo by Antoun Boustani on Pexels

  • Forecast average, May 22-24: 71.9°F (+7.4°F above climate normal)
  • Normal May 22-24 average, 2006-2020: 64.5°F
  • Total population: 65,918
 

19. Buckeye, AZ

Photo by Brandon Russell on Unsplash

  • Forecast average, May 22-24: 85.7°F (+7.5°F above climate normal)
  • Normal May 22-24 average, 2006-2020: 78.1°F
  • Total population: 95,042
 

18. El Paso, TX

Photo by Rebeca Alvidrez on Unsplash

  • Forecast average, May 22-24: 81.3°F (+7.5°F above climate normal)
  • Normal May 22-24 average, 2006-2020: 73.8°F
  • Total population: 677,181
 

17. Highlands Ranch, CO

Photo by Aaron Burden on Unsplash

  • Forecast average, May 22-24: 65.0°F (+8.1°F above climate normal)
  • Normal May 22-24 average, 2006-2020: 56.9°F
  • Total population: 101,514
 

16. Palmdale, CA

Photo by Robin Canfield on Unsplash

  • Forecast average, May 22-24: 77.2°F (+8.1°F above climate normal)
  • Normal May 22-24 average, 2006-2020: 69.1°F
  • Total population: 166,895
 

15. Pasadena, CA

Photo by Dust on Unsplash

  • Forecast average, May 22-24: 75.2°F (+8.6°F above climate normal)
  • Normal May 22-24 average, 2006-2020: 66.6°F
  • Total population: 137,554
 

14. Los Angeles, CA

Photo by Haneen Krimly on Unsplash

  • Forecast average, May 22-24: 74.2°F (+8.7°F above climate normal)
  • Normal May 22-24 average, 2006-2020: 65.5°F
  • Total population: 3,881,041
 

13. Merced, CA

Photo by Akhilan E on Unsplash

  • Forecast average, May 22-24: 69.8°F (+9.2°F above climate normal)
  • Normal May 22-24 average, 2006-2020: 60.6°F
  • Total population: 87,686
 

12. Flagstaff, AZ

Photo by Paulius Dragunas on Unsplash

  • Forecast average, May 22-24: 59.5°F (+9.3°F above climate normal)
  • Normal May 22-24 average, 2006-2020: 50.2°F
  • Total population: 76,177
 

11. Fort Collins, CO

Photo by Tori Wise on Unsplash

  • Forecast average, May 22-24: 62.8°F (+9.9°F above climate normal)
  • Normal May 22-24 average, 2006-2020: 52.9°F
  • Total population: 168,758
 

10. Goodyear, AZ

Photo by Stephen Crane on Unsplash

  • Forecast average, May 22-24: 87.6°F (+10.1°F above climate normal)
  • Normal May 22-24 average, 2006-2020: 77.4°F
  • Total population: 97,542
 

9. Chico, CA

Photo by Jahmanz Williams on Unsplash

  • Forecast average, May 22-24: 70.6°F (+14.0°F above climate normal)
  • Normal May 22-24 average, 2006-2020: 56.6°F
  • Total population: 102,790
 

8. Colorado Springs, CO

Photo by rstamats on Pixabay

  • Forecast average, May 22-24: 61.1°F (+14.2°F above climate normal)
  • Normal May 22-24 average, 2006-2020: 46.9°F
  • Total population: 479,612
 

7. Scottsdale, AZ

Photo by Logan Voss on Unsplash

  • Forecast average, May 22-24: 83.4°F (+18.4°F above climate normal)
  • Normal May 22-24 average, 2006-2020: 65.0°F
  • Total population: 240,537
 

6. Clovis, CA

Photo by Tom Fisk on Pexels

  • Forecast average, May 22-24: 72.7°F (+18.4°F above climate normal)
  • Normal May 22-24 average, 2006-2020: 54.3°F
  • Total population: 120,607
 

5. Arvada, CO

Photo by Gennady Zakharin on Unsplash

  • Forecast average, May 22-24: 63.7°F (+19.0°F above climate normal)
  • Normal May 22-24 average, 2006-2020: 44.6°F
  • Total population: 123,066
 

4. Medford, OR

Photo by Cheng Huang on Unsplash

  • Forecast average, May 22-24: 60.5°F (+19.6°F above climate normal)
  • Normal May 22-24 average, 2006-2020: 40.9°F
  • Total population: 85,539
 

3. Yucaipa, CA

Photo by Jordan Clarke on Unsplash

  • Forecast average, May 22-24: 73.3°F (+20.1°F above climate normal)
  • Normal May 22-24 average, 2006-2020: 53.2°F
  • Total population: 54,428
 

2. Boulder, CO

Photo by Deepak Adhikari on Unsplash

  • Forecast average, May 22-24: 64.1°F (+22.4°F above climate normal)
  • Normal May 22-24 average, 2006-2020: 41.7°F
  • Total population: 106,598
 

1. Sandy, UT

Photo by Sarah Sheedy on Unsplash

  • Forecast average, May 22-24: 68.3°F (+23.2°F above climate normal)
  • Normal May 22-24 average, 2006-2020: 45.1°F
  • Total population: 95,635
 

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