The Cities Where the Fourth of July Will Be Abnormally Hot This Year

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As Americans prepare for cookouts, fireworks, and one of the biggest outdoor days of the year, forecasters are warning of high heat in several major cities. A powerful ridge of high pressure is set to blanket parts of the country with unusually hot temperatures, pushing daily highs well above climate normals for the period. Dozens of communities are forecast to experience Fourth of July heat more than 10°F above historical norms.

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The National Weather Service has issued heat advisories for 31 counties, representing over 600,000 Americans. In some cities, the heat will feel more like mid-July or August than early July, raising the risk of heat-related illness at outdoor holiday gatherings. The biggest clusters of abnormal heat will occur in parts of Massachusetts and California. A closer look at the data reveals the full list of cities where July 4th will be abnormally hot this year.

To determine the cities where it will be abnormally hot this Fourth of July, Climate Crisis 247 reviewed 24-hour maximum temperature forecasts and historical daily temperature normals from the NOAA. Cities were ranked based on the difference between the forecast high temperature for July 4, 2025, and the average observed high for that date from 2006 to 2020. Forecast data are from the National Digital Forecast Database, while historical norms are from the Global Historical Climatology Network Daily program at the National Centers for Environmental Information. Cities were matched to the nearest weather station within 50 miles. Only cities with at least 40,000 residents were considered.

25. Brookline, MA

Photo by Brett Wharton on Unsplash

  • Forecast maximum, July 4th, 2025: 90.9°F (+9.6°F above climate normal)
  • Normal July 4th maximum, 2006-2020: 81.3°F
  • Total population: 62,698
 

24. Taunton, MA

Photo by Adrienne Kelley on Unsplash

  • Forecast maximum, July 4th, 2025: 91.2°F (+9.7°F above climate normal)
  • Normal July 4th maximum, 2006-2020: 81.5°F
  • Total population: 59,436
 

23. Palatine, IL

Photo by Adam Davis on Unsplash

  • Forecast maximum, July 4th, 2025: 90.9°F (+9.8°F above climate normal)
  • Normal July 4th maximum, 2006-2020: 81.1°F
  • Total population: 67,223
 

22. Schaumburg, IL

Photo by Myriams-Fotos on Pixabay

  • Forecast maximum, July 4th, 2025: 90.9°F (+9.8°F above climate normal)
  • Normal July 4th maximum, 2006-2020: 81.1°F
  • Total population: 77,571
 

21. Walnut Creek, CA

Photo by Bear Bear on Unsplash

  • Forecast maximum, July 4th, 2025: 82.8°F (+9.9°F above climate normal)
  • Normal July 4th maximum, 2006-2020: 72.9°F
  • Total population: 69,809
 

20. Waltham, MA

Photo by Henry Dixon on Unsplash

  • Forecast maximum, July 4th, 2025: 91.3°F (+10.0°F above climate normal)
  • Normal July 4th maximum, 2006-2020: 81.3°F
  • Total population: 64,711
 

19. Arlington, MA

Photo by Brett Sayles on Pexels

  • Forecast maximum, July 4th, 2025: 91.5°F (+10.2°F above climate normal)
  • Normal July 4th maximum, 2006-2020: 81.3°F
  • Total population: 45,906
 

18. Newton, MA

Photo by Henry Dixon on Unsplash

  • Forecast maximum, July 4th, 2025: 91.5°F (+10.2°F above climate normal)
  • Normal July 4th maximum, 2006-2020: 81.3°F
  • Total population: 88,453
 

17. Malden, MA

Photo by Matthew Simmonds on Pexels

  • Forecast maximum, July 4th, 2025: 90.9°F (+10.4°F above climate normal)
  • Normal July 4th maximum, 2006-2020: 80.5°F
  • Total population: 65,463
 

16. Woburn, MA

Photo by Ran Cui on Unsplash

  • Forecast maximum, July 4th, 2025: 90.9°F (+10.4°F above climate normal)
  • Normal July 4th maximum, 2006-2020: 80.5°F
  • Total population: 40,992
 

15. Everett, MA

Photo by MOHANN on Pixabay

  • Forecast maximum, July 4th, 2025: 91.0°F (+10.5°F above climate normal)
  • Normal July 4th maximum, 2006-2020: 80.5°F
  • Total population: 48,685
 

14. Brockton, MA

Photo by John Fay on Unsplash

  • Forecast maximum, July 4th, 2025: 91.9°F (+10.6°F above climate normal)
  • Normal July 4th maximum, 2006-2020: 81.3°F
  • Total population: 104,713
 

13. Somerville, MA

Photo by Ethan Hansen on Unsplash

  • Forecast maximum, July 4th, 2025: 92.0°F (+10.7°F above climate normal)
  • Normal July 4th maximum, 2006-2020: 81.3°F
  • Total population: 80,464
 

12. Cambridge, MA

Photo by Bernd 📷 Dittrich on Unsplash

  • Forecast maximum, July 4th, 2025: 92.0°F (+10.7°F above climate normal)
  • Normal July 4th maximum, 2006-2020: 81.3°F
  • Total population: 117,962
 

11. Medford, MA

Photo by Mier Chen on Unsplash

  • Forecast maximum, July 4th, 2025: 91.7°F (+11.2°F above climate normal)
  • Normal July 4th maximum, 2006-2020: 80.5°F
  • Total population: 61,748
 

10. Tracy, CA

Photo by Casey Horner on Unsplash

  • Forecast maximum, July 4th, 2025: 90.3°F (+11.3°F above climate normal)
  • Normal July 4th maximum, 2006-2020: 79.0°F
  • Total population: 94,027
 

9. Colorado Springs, CO

Photo by Kevin Bree on Unsplash

  • Forecast maximum, July 4th, 2025: 85.2°F (+11.4°F above climate normal)
  • Normal July 4th maximum, 2006-2020: 73.8°F
  • Total population: 479,612
 

8. Pittsburg, CA

Photo by Charles Luo on Unsplash

  • Forecast maximum, July 4th, 2025: 84.3°F (+11.4°F above climate normal)
  • Normal July 4th maximum, 2006-2020: 72.9°F
  • Total population: 76,419
 

7. Bismarck, ND

Photo by CHUTTERSNAP on Unsplash

  • Forecast maximum, July 4th, 2025: 93.5°F (+11.5°F above climate normal)
  • Normal July 4th maximum, 2006-2020: 82.0°F
  • Total population: 73,694
 

6. Concord, CA

Photo by Nicholas Ismael Martinez on Unsplash

  • Forecast maximum, July 4th, 2025: 84.9°F (+12.0°F above climate normal)
  • Normal July 4th maximum, 2006-2020: 72.9°F
  • Total population: 125,007
 

5. Brentwood, CA

Photo by Corey Agopian on Unsplash

  • Forecast maximum, July 4th, 2025: 90.2°F (+12.7°F above climate normal)
  • Normal July 4th maximum, 2006-2020: 77.5°F
  • Total population: 64,443
 

4. Victorville, CA

Photo by Silvia Munoz on Unsplash

  • Forecast maximum, July 4th, 2025: 94.0°F (+12.8°F above climate normal)
  • Normal July 4th maximum, 2006-2020: 81.2°F
  • Total population: 134,417
 

3. Apple Valley, CA

Photo by Luis Lara on Unsplash

  • Forecast maximum, July 4th, 2025: 94.1°F (+12.9°F above climate normal)
  • Normal July 4th maximum, 2006-2020: 81.2°F
  • Total population: 75,603
 

2. Rapid City, SD

Photo by joffi on Pixabay

  • Forecast maximum, July 4th, 2025: 98.2°F (+14.2°F above climate normal)
  • Normal July 4th maximum, 2006-2020: 84.0°F
  • Total population: 75,632
 

1. Antioch, CA

Photo by Chris Briggs on Unsplash

  • Forecast maximum, July 4th, 2025: 87.2°F (+14.3°F above climate normal)
  • Normal July 4th maximum, 2006-2020: 72.9°F
  • Total population: 115,016
 


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