These Cities Are Directly in the Path of a Rare ‘High Risk’ Tornado Outbreak
https://climatecrisis247.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/04/1446076-150x150.jpegMillions of Americans are currently bracing for a rare high-risk outbreak of tornadoes in the Midwest and South. According to the NOAA’s Storm Prediction Center, multiple long-track EF3+ tornadoes are forecast to hit the mid-South, mid-Mississippi, and lower Ohio valleys over the next two days. The sudden storm system prompted the Storm Prediction Center to issue a rare, 5-out-of-5 high-risk severe weather outlook – a level of severity only issued about two to three times in an average year.
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The National Weather Service has issued tornado watches stretching from Dallas to St. Louis, covering 126 counties and 6.6 million Americans. Satellite forecasts from the NOAA show a narrower storm path, with several major cities in the path of destruction. A closer look at the data reveals the major cities directly in the path of a tornado outbreak this week.
To determine the cities directly in the path of a tornado outbreak this week, Climate Crisis 247 reviewed data on tornado probability from the NOAA’s Storm Prediction Center. Cities were ranked based on the average probability of a tornado event occurring within 25 miles of their borders between April 2 and April 4, 2025. Only cities with at least 25,000 residents were included. Supplemental data on real estate value and population are from the U.S. Census Bureau.
20. Benton, AR
- Probability of tornado occurring within 25 miles in next 48 hours: 15.0%
- Total value of occupied housing units: $2.0 billion
- Total population: 35,318
19. Jacksonville, AR
- Probability of tornado occurring within 25 miles in next 48 hours: 15.0%
- Total value of occupied housing units: $996.5 million
- Total population: 29,332
18. Little Rock, AR
- Probability of tornado occurring within 25 miles in next 48 hours: 15.0%
- Total value of occupied housing units: $13.0 billion
- Total population: 202,218
17. Sherwood, AR
- Probability of tornado occurring within 25 miles in next 48 hours: 15.0%
- Total value of occupied housing units: $1.9 billion
- Total population: 32,715
16. Cabot, AR
- Probability of tornado occurring within 25 miles in next 48 hours: 15.0%
- Total value of occupied housing units: $1.4 billion
- Total population: 26,543
15. Hot Springs, AR
- Probability of tornado occurring within 25 miles in next 48 hours: 15.0%
- Total value of occupied housing units: $1.8 billion
- Total population: 38,025
14. North Little Rock, AR
- Probability of tornado occurring within 25 miles in next 48 hours: 15.6%
- Total value of occupied housing units: $2.4 billion
- Total population: 64,454
13. Jackson, TN
- Probability of tornado occurring within 25 miles in next 48 hours: 24.1%
- Total value of occupied housing units: $2.7 billion
- Total population: 67,993
12. Collierville, TN
- Probability of tornado occurring within 25 miles in next 48 hours: 28.8%
- Total value of occupied housing units: $6.5 billion
- Total population: 51,170
11. Olive Branch, MS
- Probability of tornado occurring within 25 miles in next 48 hours: 29.3%
- Total value of occupied housing units: $3.7 billion
- Total population: 45,938
10. Bartlett, TN
- Probability of tornado occurring within 25 miles in next 48 hours: 30.0%
- Total value of occupied housing units: $4.8 billion
- Total population: 57,481
9. Germantown, TN
- Probability of tornado occurring within 25 miles in next 48 hours: 30.0%
- Total value of occupied housing units: $6.4 billion
- Total population: 41,094
8. Memphis, TN
- Probability of tornado occurring within 25 miles in next 48 hours: 30.0%
- Total value of occupied housing units: $24.8 billion
- Total population: 630,027
7. Cape Girardeau, MO
- Probability of tornado occurring within 25 miles in next 48 hours: 30.0%
- Total value of occupied housing units: $1.9 billion
- Total population: 39,795
6. Southaven, MS
- Probability of tornado occurring within 25 miles in next 48 hours: 30.0%
- Total value of occupied housing units: $3.2 billion
- Total population: 54,908
5. Horn Lake, MS
- Probability of tornado occurring within 25 miles in next 48 hours: 30.0%
- Total value of occupied housing units: $979.9 million
- Total population: 26,652
4. Paducah, KY
- Probability of tornado occurring within 25 miles in next 48 hours: 30.0%
- Total value of occupied housing units: $1.3 billion
- Total population: 26,869
3. Pine Bluff, AR
- Probability of tornado occurring within 25 miles in next 48 hours: 30.0%
- Total value of occupied housing units: $915.0 million
- Total population: 41,172
2. Paragould, AR
- Probability of tornado occurring within 25 miles in next 48 hours: 30.0%
- Total value of occupied housing units: $1.2 billion
- Total population: 29,690
1. Jonesboro, AR
- Probability of tornado occurring within 25 miles in next 48 hours: 30.0%
- Total value of occupied housing units: $4.0 billion
- Total population: 78,379
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