These Cities Likely To Break Heat Records As Heat Waves Slam Different Parts of the U.S.
https://climate-crisis-247-bucket.nyc3.cdn.digitaloceanspaces.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/07/07211300/Forecast-maximum-temperature-July-28th-to-July-30th-2025-150x150.pngWhile millions of Americans were exposed to major heat risk this past weekend, the heat wave is forecast to peak on Tuesday. Temperatures will breach 100°F in hundreds of counties, setting record highs in dozens of cities and exposing millions Americans to extreme heat risk.
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Nationwide, 1,441 counties are under heat advisories or extreme heat warnings from the National Weather Service, representing more than one-third of the U.S. population. While 3.4 million Americans will be exposed to extreme heat risk – the most dangerous category of heat risk – on Monday, that number will rise to 8.8 million on Tuesday, spread across 80 counties.
More than two dozen major cities are forecast to break daily temperature records. While Atlanta temperatures could exceed daily records by 1.8°F, some cities could see records shattered by more than 3°F. A closer look at the data reveals the cities most likely to break heat records this weekend.
To determine the cities most likely to break heat records this weekend, Climate Crisis 247 reviewed 72-hour temperature forecasts and historical daily records from the NOAA. Cities were ranked based on the gap between forecast highs for July 28 to July 30, 2025, and historical maximum temperatures for those dates. Gridded forecast data are from the National Digital Forecast Database, while historical temperatures are from the Global Historical Climatology Network daily program of the National Centers for Environmental Information. Weather stations were matched to places using nearest neighbor analysis and were limited to cities within 50 miles of the city centroid. Only cities with at least 65,000 residents were considered.
25. Norwalk, CT

- Forecast high, July 28: 82.2°F (-10.8°F below 1963 record)
- Forecast high, July 29: 85.4°F (-7.6°F above 1963 record)
- Forecast high, July 30: 90.1°F (+0.1°F below 1963 record)
- Total population: 91,050
24. Omaha, NE

- Forecast high, July 28: 97.1°F (+0.1°F below 1955 record)
- Forecast high, July 29: 98.5°F (-1.5°F above 1955 record)
- Forecast high, July 30: 94.4°F (-8.5°F below 1955 record)
- Total population: 489,201
23. Savannah, GA

- Forecast high, July 28: 100.1°F (-0.8°F below 1949 record)
- Forecast high, July 29: 99.2°F (+0.2°F above 1949 record)
- Forecast high, July 30: 96.5°F (-2.5°F below 1954 record)
- Total population: 147,583
22. Lafayette, LA

- Forecast high, July 28: 92.2°F (-6.8°F below 1995 record)
- Forecast high, July 29: 94.5°F (-1.6°F above 1993 record)
- Forecast high, July 30: 96.6°F (+0.5°F below 1998 record)
- Total population: 121,706
21. Kissimmee, FL

- Forecast high, July 28: 96.5°F (-2.5°F below 1902 record)
- Forecast high, July 29: 97.5°F (+0.5°F above 1899 record)
- Forecast high, July 30: 95.2°F (-1.8°F below 1949 record)
- Total population: 78,478
20. Charlotte, NC

- Forecast high, July 28: 99.7°F (-1.2°F below 1936 record)
- Forecast high, July 29: 99.8°F (+0.8°F above 1930 record)
- Forecast high, July 30: 99.8°F (+0.8°F below 1941 record)
- Total population: 875,045
19. Greenville, SC

- Forecast high, July 28: 99.0°F (-3.9°F below 1952 record)
- Forecast high, July 29: 99.9°F (-4.1°F above 1952 record)
- Forecast high, July 30: 99.9°F (+0.9°F below 1886 record)
- Total population: 70,838
18. Dothan, AL

- Forecast high, July 28: 97.6°F (-1.4°F below 2015 record)
- Forecast high, July 29: 99.9°F (+0.9°F above 1986 record)
- Forecast high, July 30: 100.1°F (-0.8°F below 1986 record)
- Total population: 70,699
17. Brandon, FL

- Forecast high, July 28: 94.4°F (+0.5°F below 1892 record)
- Forecast high, July 29: 93.9°F (+0.9°F above 1892 record)
- Forecast high, July 30: 92.2°F (+0.3°F below 1891 record)
- Total population: 114,923
16. Apex, NC

- Forecast high, July 28: 98.0°F (-2.0°F below 2005 record)
- Forecast high, July 29: 98.0°F (+1.0°F above 1993 record)
- Forecast high, July 30: 98.0°F (-4.0°F below 2011 record)
- Total population: 65,541
15. Orlando, FL

- Forecast high, July 28: 97.3°F (+0.3°F below 1992 record)
- Forecast high, July 29: 98.0°F (+1.0°F above 1981 record)
- Forecast high, July 30: 95.5°F (-2.6°F below 1961 record)
- Total population: 307,738
14. Cary, NC

- Forecast high, July 28: 98.2°F (-1.8°F below 2005 record)
- Forecast high, July 29: 98.0°F (+1.0°F above 1993 record)
- Forecast high, July 30: 98.0°F (-4.0°F below 2011 record)
- Total population: 174,880
13. Mobile, AL

- Forecast high, July 28: 94.4°F (-4.6°F below 1912 record)
- Forecast high, July 29: 98.1°F (+1.1°F above 1910 record)
- Forecast high, July 30: 98.2°F (+1.2°F below 1910 record)
- Total population: 186,316
12. Highlands Ranch, CO

- Forecast high, July 28: 95.2°F (+1.3°F below 1999 record)
- Forecast high, July 29: 94.9°F (-0.1°F above 2021 record)
- Forecast high, July 30: 91.6°F (-5.4°F below 2001 record)
- Total population: 101,514
11. Gainesville, FL

- Forecast high, July 28: 97.8°F (+1.7°F below 1892 record)
- Forecast high, July 29: 99.0°F (+0.0°F above 1896 record)
- Forecast high, July 30: 95.0°F (-5.0°F below 1892 record)
- Total population: 142,414
10. Atlanta, GA

- Forecast high, July 28: 96.3°F (-4.6°F below 1952 record)
- Forecast high, July 29: 99.6°F (-3.3°F above 1952 record)
- Forecast high, July 30: 99.9°F (+1.8°F below 1980 record)
- Total population: 494,838
9. South Fulton, GA

- Forecast high, July 28: 96.5°F (-4.4°F below 1952 record)
- Forecast high, July 29: 99.4°F (-3.5°F above 1952 record)
- Forecast high, July 30: 100.0°F (+1.9°F below 1980 record)
- Total population: 107,865
8. Tallahassee, FL

- Forecast high, July 28: 98.0°F (-0.1°F below 1936 record)
- Forecast high, July 29: 100.1°F (+2.0°F above 1936 record)
- Forecast high, July 30: 98.4°F (+1.4°F below 1928 record)
- Total population: 198,259
7. Roswell, GA

- Forecast high, July 28: 95.5°F (-0.6°F below 1987 record)
- Forecast high, July 29: 98.6°F (+0.5°F above 1993 record)
- Forecast high, July 30: 99.6°F (+2.6°F below 1959 record)
- Total population: 92,770
6. Alpharetta, GA

- Forecast high, July 28: 95.9°F (-0.2°F below 1987 record)
- Forecast high, July 29: 99.3°F (+1.2°F above 1993 record)
- Forecast high, July 30: 99.9°F (+2.9°F below 1959 record)
- Total population: 65,884
5. Sandy Springs, GA

- Forecast high, July 28: 96.1°F (+0.0°F below 1987 record)
- Forecast high, July 29: 99.3°F (+1.2°F above 1993 record)
- Forecast high, July 30: 99.9°F (+2.9°F below 1959 record)
- Total population: 107,221
4. Columbus, GA

- Forecast high, July 28: 97.6°F (-1.4°F below 1999 record)
- Forecast high, July 29: 100.0°F (+3.0°F above 2008 record)
- Forecast high, July 30: 100.1°F (+0.1°F below 1999 record)
- Total population: 204,572
3. Augusta, GA

- Forecast high, July 28: 101.1°F (+3.0°F below 1999 record)
- Forecast high, July 29: 100.4°F (+0.4°F above 1999 record)
- Forecast high, July 30: 99.5°F (-3.4°F below 1999 record)
- Total population: 201,615
2. Johns Creek, GA

- Forecast high, July 28: 96.2°F (+0.1°F below 1987 record)
- Forecast high, July 29: 99.5°F (+1.4°F above 1993 record)
- Forecast high, July 30: 100.1°F (+3.1°F below 1959 record)
- Total population: 82,230
1. Louisville, KY

- Forecast high, July 28: 93.9°F (-4.2°F below 2011 record)
- Forecast high, July 29: 95.3°F (-1.7°F above 2002 record)
- Forecast high, July 30: 96.7°F (+3.7°F below 2011 record)
- Total population: 629,176
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