Category 4 Erin To Miss US Completely
Hurricane Erin blew up from a tropical storm to a Category 5 hurricane in two days. It demonstrates the effects of the extreme warming of the South Atlantic. The water is even warmer in the Gulf of Mexico, which is likely to be the birthplace of more major hurricanes, as it was last year with Milton and Helene.
Fortunately, after extensive media coverage, Erin will not make landfall in the US. It will not even come close. AccuWeather says the hurricane will have “dangerous impacts.” The path of the storm has been so erratic that it is hard to know if that is true.
Damage Estimates May Be Wrong
Erin’s path does tell us one thing. The hurricane season may be among the most active in recent years, although storm formation so far makes that a stretch. However, September is often the worst month for storms, so it would be unwise to make a prediction.
Much of the forecasts for Atlantic storms makes people believe that Florida, the Carolinas, New Orleans, or Houston will be the targets. Damage estimates for this year, which run into the tens of billions of dollars, could be wrong, only because big storms move out to sea.
Damage estimated for the hurricane season could be off by a large number. Don’t count chickens before they are hatched.
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