New Forecast Of Violent Hurricanes
Colorado State University has published its forecast for the upcoming hurricane season. It is expected to be more active and more violent than in 2024, one of the most dangerous years on record.
“The CSU team is predicting 17 named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season, which runs from June 1 to Nov. 30. Of those, researchers forecast nine to become hurricanes and four to reach major hurricane strength (Saffir/Simpson Category 3, 4 or 5) with sustained winds of 111 miles per hour or greater,” the research team wrote. The forecast is based on a review of four well-known weather forecast models. They use over 25 years of data.
A Jump From 2024
CSU added, “The team predicts that 2025 hurricane activity will be about 125% of the average season from 1991–2020. By comparison, 2024’s hurricane activity was about 130% of the average season.”
The reasons for the forecasts are nothing new. Weather patterns will warm the South Atlantic, where these storms are born. They move westward toward the Caribbean and the US East Coast. Those that enter the Caribbean sometimes move as far west as New Orleans and Houston.
Helene And Milton
The researchers pointed out massive hurricanes like Helene and Milton could become more frequent. A hallmark of these storms is how quickly they gain strength and go from modest-sized storms to giants.
No one thought the hurricane season would suddenly become calmer.
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