Destructive Storms, Hail Could Hit These 25 Cities This Week
https://climate-crisis-247-bucket.nyc3.digitaloceanspaces.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/06/07215900/Probability-of-hail-June-10-to-11-150x150.pngA strong system of severe storms is sweeping across the central and southeastern U.S. this week, bringing the threat of torrential rain, damaging winds, and baseball-sized hail to hundreds of thousands of Americans. The wave of severe weather comes right after a weekend of destructive wind gusts and hail storms that caused damage throughout the Central Plains and U.S. South.
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Nationwide, there are seven counties with at least a 15% chance of hail, representing over 235,000 Americans. There are six counties with a 10% chance of extreme hail – hailstones larger than two inches in diameter – in an area encompassing approximately 210,000 Americans. Strong storms could disrupt air travel, damage crops, and cost substantial property damage. A closer look at the data reveals the cities facing the biggest hail threat this week.
To determine the cities that could get hit worst by hail this week, Climate Crisis 247 reviewed data on hail probability from the National Digital Forecast Database of the NOAA’s National Weather Service. Cities were ranked based on the probability of experiencing hail or extreme hail – hailstones larger than two inches in diameter – within 25 miles of their border from June 10 to June 11, 2025. Probabilities for individual severe weather phenomena were normalized and combined into one index score. Supplemental data on the total value of owner-occupied homes and population are from the U.S. Census Bureau. Only cities with at least 25,000 residents were considered.
25. Murfreesboro, TN
- Probability of hail event in next 48 hours: 5.0%
- Forecast rainfall total in next 48 hours: 0.6 inches
- No. hail events, 1950-2024: 65 storms
- Value of all homes: $11.1 billion
- Population: 153,487
24. Killeen, TX
- Probability of hail event in next 48 hours: 5.0%
- Forecast rainfall total in next 48 hours: 1.3 inches
- No. hail events, 1950-2024: 87 storms
- Value of all homes: $5.3 billion
- Population: 153,708
23. Chattanooga, TN
- Probability of hail event in next 48 hours: 5.0%
- Forecast rainfall total in next 48 hours: 0.3 inches
- No. hail events, 1950-2024: 75 storms
- Value of all homes: $12.2 billion
- Population: 181,288
22. Mobile, AL
- Probability of hail event in next 48 hours: 5.0%
- Forecast rainfall total in next 48 hours: 0.9 inches
- No. hail events, 1950-2024: 68 storms
- Value of all homes: $8.6 billion
- Population: 186,316
21. Knoxville, TN
- Probability of hail event in next 48 hours: 5.0%
- Forecast rainfall total in next 48 hours: 0.2 inches
- No. hail events, 1950-2024: 74 storms
- Value of all homes: $9.4 billion
- Population: 191,857
20. Grand Rapids, MI
- Probability of hail event in next 48 hours: 5.0%
- Forecast rainfall total in next 48 hours: 0.1 inches
- No. hail events, 1950-2024: 26 storms
- Value of all homes: $9.4 billion
- Population: 198,096
19. Montgomery, AL
- Probability of hail event in next 48 hours: 5.0%
- Forecast rainfall total in next 48 hours: 1.3 inches
- No. hail events, 1950-2024: 69 storms
- Value of all homes: $8.1 billion
- Population: 199,819
18. Amarillo, TX
- Probability of hail event in next 48 hours: 5.0%
- Forecast rainfall total in next 48 hours: 0.3 inches
- No. hail events, 1950-2024: 694 storms
- Value of all homes: $9.8 billion
- Population: 200,360
17. Birmingham, AL
- Probability of hail event in next 48 hours: 5.0%
- Forecast rainfall total in next 48 hours: 0.8 inches
- No. hail events, 1950-2024: 107 storms
- Value of all homes: $7.4 billion
- Population: 200,431
16. Huntsville, AL
- Probability of hail event in next 48 hours: 5.0%
- Forecast rainfall total in next 48 hours: 0.5 inches
- No. hail events, 1950-2024: 154 storms
- Value of all homes: $15.5 billion
- Population: 215,025
15. Baton Rouge, LA
- Probability of hail event in next 48 hours: 5.0%
- Forecast rainfall total in next 48 hours: 1.4 inches
- No. hail events, 1950-2024: 52 storms
- Value of all homes: $13.2 billion
- Population: 225,500
14. Lubbock, TX
- Probability of hail event in next 48 hours: 5.0%
- Forecast rainfall total in next 48 hours: 2.0 inches
- No. hail events, 1950-2024: 242 storms
- Value of all homes: $12.0 billion
- Population: 258,190
13. Pittsburgh, PA
- Probability of hail event in next 48 hours: 5.0%
- Forecast rainfall total in next 48 hours: 0.3 inches
- No. hail events, 1950-2024: 56 storms
- Value of all homes: $16.0 billion
- Population: 303,843
12. New Orleans, LA
- Probability of hail event in next 48 hours: 5.0%
- Forecast rainfall total in next 48 hours: 0.3 inches
- No. hail events, 1950-2024: 34 storms
- Value of all homes: $30.7 billion
- Population: 380,408
11. Albuquerque, NM
- Probability of hail event in next 48 hours: 5.0%
- Forecast rainfall total in next 48 hours: 0.1 inches
- No. hail events, 1950-2024: 73 storms
- Value of all homes: $41.1 billion
- Population: 562,551
10. Nashville-Davidson, TN
- Probability of hail event in next 48 hours: 5.0%
- Forecast rainfall total in next 48 hours: 0.3 inches
- No. hail events, 1950-2024: 231 storms
- Value of all homes: $69.7 billion
- Population: 684,103
9. Austin, TX
- Probability of hail event in next 48 hours: 5.0%
- Forecast rainfall total in next 48 hours: 0.6 inches
- No. hail events, 1950-2024: 320 storms
- Value of all homes: $108.1 billion
- Population: 958,202
8. San Antonio, TX
- Probability of hail event in next 48 hours: 5.0%
- Forecast rainfall total in next 48 hours: 0.1 inches
- No. hail events, 1950-2024: 376 storms
- Value of all homes: $67.1 billion
- Population: 1,445,662
7. Houston, TX
- Probability of hail event in next 48 hours: 5.0%
- Forecast rainfall total in next 48 hours: 1.4 inches
- No. hail events, 1950-2024: 311 storms
- Value of all homes: $136.4 billion
- Population: 2,296,253
6. Hobbs, NM
- Probability of hail event in next 48 hours: 7.5%
- Forecast rainfall total in next 48 hours: 1.8 inches
- No. hail events, 1950-2024: 107 storms
- Value of all homes: $1.7 billion
- Population: 39,782
5. Big Spring, TX
- Probability of hail event in next 48 hours: 15.0%
- Forecast rainfall total in next 48 hours: 2.4 inches
- No. hail events, 1950-2024: 96 storms
- Value of all homes: $803.3 million
- Population: 25,949
4. West Odessa, TX
- Probability of hail event in next 48 hours: 15.0%
- Forecast rainfall total in next 48 hours: 1.4 inches
- No. hail events, 1950-2024: 44 storms
- Value of all homes: $1.4 billion
- Population: 30,904
3. San Angelo, TX
- Probability of hail event in next 48 hours: 15.0%
- Forecast rainfall total in next 48 hours: 1.7 inches
- No. hail events, 1950-2024: 239 storms
- Value of all homes: $5.0 billion
- Population: 99,422
2. Odessa, TX
- Probability of hail event in next 48 hours: 15.0%
- Forecast rainfall total in next 48 hours: 1.8 inches
- No. hail events, 1950-2024: 164 storms
- Value of all homes: $5.7 billion
- Population: 113,353
1. Midland, TX
- Probability of hail event in next 48 hours: 15.0%
- Forecast rainfall total in next 48 hours: 1.9 inches
- No. hail events, 1950-2024: 207 storms
- Value of all homes: $10.8 billion
- Population: 132,490
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