The Cities Forecasted To Get Hit by Hail This Week
https://climate-crisis-247-bucket.nyc3.cdn.digitaloceanspaces.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/09/07202426/Probability-of-hail-September-17-to-19-150x150.pngA powerful storm system is sweeping through the central U.S. this week, bringing high wind gusts and damaging hail across a wide swath of populated areas. Meteorologists are warning of monster hailstones ranging from pea-size to baseball-size, with the worst damage forecast for central Nebraska.
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Nationwide, there are 14 counties with at least a 15% chance of hail this week, representing over 63,000 Americans. The National Weather Service issued severe thunderstorm watches in seven counties, and high wind advisories in 31 counties. A closer look at the data reveals the counties getting hammered by hail this week.
To determine the counties getting hammered by hail this week, Climate Crisis 247 reviewed data on hail probability from the National Digital Forecast Database of the NOAA’s National Weather Service. Cities were ranked based on the probability of experiencing hail or extreme hail – hailstones larger than two inches in diameter – within 25 miles of their border from September 17 to September 19, 2025. Probabilities for individual severe weather phenomena were normalized and combined into one index score. Supplemental data on the total value of owner-occupied homes and population are from the U.S. Census Bureau. Only counties with at least 2,500 residents were considered.
20. Weld County, CO
- Probability of hail event, September 17-19: 5.0%
- No. hail events, 1950-2024: 1,080 storms
- Value of all homes: $45.3 billion
- Population: 340,711
- County seat: Greeley
19. Kit Carson County, CO
- Probability of hail event, September 17-19: 5.1%
- No. hail events, 1950-2024: 839 storms
- Value of all homes: $484.1 million
- Population: 7,015
- County seat: Burlington
18. Washington County, CO
- Probability of hail event, September 17-19: 5.1%
- No. hail events, 1950-2024: 649 storms
- Value of all homes: $364.7 million
- Population: 4,839
- County seat: Akron
17. Red Willow County, NE
- Probability of hail event, September 17-19: 6.1%
- No. hail events, 1950-2024: 285 storms
- Value of all homes: $547.8 million
- Population: 10,611
- County seat: McCook
16. Cheyenne County, NE
- Probability of hail event, September 17-19: 6.8%
- No. hail events, 1950-2024: 471 storms
- Value of all homes: $491.3 million
- Population: 9,478
- County seat: Sidney
15. Dawson County, NE
- Probability of hail event, September 17-19: 7.0%
- No. hail events, 1950-2024: 358 storms
- Value of all homes: $1.2 billion
- Population: 24,020
- County seat: Lexington
14. Rawlins County, KS
- Probability of hail event, September 17-19: 7.1%
- No. hail events, 1950-2024: 484 storms
- Value of all homes: $103.3 million
- Population: 2,533
- County seat: Atwood
13. Logan County, CO
- Probability of hail event, September 17-19: 7.2%
- No. hail events, 1950-2024: 505 storms
- Value of all homes: $1.5 billion
- Population: 21,067
- County seat: Sterling
12. Cherry County, NE
- Probability of hail event, September 17-19: 9.2%
- No. hail events, 1950-2024: 908 storms
- Value of all homes: $289.5 million
- Population: 5,468
- County seat: Valentine
11. Custer County, NE
- Probability of hail event, September 17-19: 9.3%
- No. hail events, 1950-2024: 831 storms
- Value of all homes: $768.5 million
- Population: 10,544
- County seat: Broken Bow
10. Brown County, NE
- Probability of hail event, September 17-19: 9.6%
- No. hail events, 1950-2024: 276 storms
- Value of all homes: $114.0 million
- Population: 2,739
- County seat: Ainsworth
9. Frontier County, NE
- Probability of hail event, September 17-19: 10.4%
- No. hail events, 1950-2024: 354 storms
- Value of all homes: $128.9 million
- Population: 2,562
- County seat: Stockville
8. Yuma County, CO
- Probability of hail event, September 17-19: 13.6%
- No. hail events, 1950-2024: 1,030 storms
- Value of all homes: $742.9 million
- Population: 9,921
- County seat: Wray
7. Cheyenne County, KS
- Probability of hail event, September 17-19: 14.2%
- No. hail events, 1950-2024: 481 storms
- Value of all homes: $138.2 million
- Population: 2,628
- County seat: Saint Francis
6. Hitchcock County, NE
- Probability of hail event, September 17-19: 14.3%
- No. hail events, 1950-2024: 339 storms
- Value of all homes: $151.2 million
- Population: 2,601
- County seat: Trenton
5. Keith County, NE
- Probability of hail event, September 17-19: 15.0%
- No. hail events, 1950-2024: 445 storms
- Value of all homes: $580.4 million
- Population: 8,239
- County seat: Ogallala
4. Perkins County, NE
- Probability of hail event, September 17-19: 15.0%
- No. hail events, 1950-2024: 341 storms
- Value of all homes: $177.2 million
- Population: 2,835
- County seat: Grant
3. Chase County, NE
- Probability of hail event, September 17-19: 15.0%
- No. hail events, 1950-2024: 326 storms
- Value of all homes: $248.3 million
- Population: 3,639
- County seat: Imperial
2. Lincoln County, NE
- Probability of hail event, September 17-19: 15.0%
- No. hail events, 1950-2024: 1,059 storms
- Value of all homes: $1.9 billion
- Population: 34,122
- County seat: North Platte
1. Phillips County, CO
- Probability of hail event, September 17-19: 15.0%
- No. hail events, 1950-2024: 214 storms
- Value of all homes: $473.6 million
- Population: 4,491
- County seat: Holyoke