These 25 Cities Are at Greater Risk in an Above-Average Hurricane Season

Powerful waves crash against a pier and lighthouse under dark stormy skies.

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Forecasters are warning that the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season could be one of the most active on record. Warmer-than-average ocean temperatures in the Atlantic and a transition from El Niño to La Niña conditions are fueling concerns that the 2025 hurricane season will have an above-average number of storms in both frequency and intensity.

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While there is little data to support that climate change is causing hurricanes to increase in frequency, there is scientific consensus that more storms are undergoing the kind of rapid intensification that results in back-to-back Category 3+ hurricanes. Some cities along the Gulf and Atlantic coast have experienced considerable decade-over-decade increases in severe hurricanes throughout the 20th century and into the 21st century. A look at historical storm tracks and wind speed measures reveals where in the United States hurricanes have become more severe in the last 180 years.

To determine the places where hurricanes are getting worse, Climate Crisis 247 reviewed data on historical hurricane tracks from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. Cities, towns, and Census-designated places were ranked based on the average tricennial change in the average maximum sustained wind speed of tropical cyclones and hurricanes within their boundaries from 1842 to 2022. Triennial changes were calculated across six thirty-year periods: 1842-1872, 1872-1902, 1902-1932, 1932-1962, 1962-1992, and 1992-2022. Hurricane tracks were buffered by 50 miles and overlapped with spatial boundaries from the U.S. Census Bureau. Only cities with at least 100,000 residents were considered.

25. Wilmington, NC

Avg. tricennial change in storm wind speed, 1842 to 2022: +4.8%
No. events with 39+ mph wind speed, 1842 to 2022: 151 storms
Avg. storm event wind speed, 1992 to 2022: 78.5 mph
Strongest recorded storm: Hurricane Hazel 1954 (132.3 mph sustained wind speed)

24. Raleigh, NC

Avg. tricennial change in storm wind speed, 1842 to 2022: +4.9%
No. events with 39+ mph wind speed, 1842 to 2022: 91 storms
Avg. storm event wind speed, 1992 to 2022: 53.2 mph
Strongest recorded storm: Hurricane Hazel 1954 (132.3 mph sustained wind speed)

23. Cary, NC

Avg. tricennial change in storm wind speed, 1842 to 2022: +5.3%
No. events with 39+ mph wind speed, 1842 to 2022: 76 storms
Avg. storm event wind speed, 1992 to 2022: 53.4 mph
Strongest recorded storm: Hurricane Hazel 1954 (132.3 mph sustained wind speed)

22. Greensboro, NC

Avg. tricennial change in storm wind speed, 1842 to 2022: +5.5%
No. events with 39+ mph wind speed, 1842 to 2022: 40 storms
Avg. storm event wind speed, 1992 to 2022: 54.4 mph
Strongest recorded storm: Hurricane Fran 1996 (59.8 mph sustained wind speed)

21. Fort Lauderdale, FL

Avg. tricennial change in storm wind speed, 1842 to 2022: +5.6%
No. events with 39+ mph wind speed, 1842 to 2022: 127 storms
Avg. storm event wind speed, 1992 to 2022: 90.8 mph
Strongest recorded storm: Hurricane Andrew 1992 (166.9 mph sustained wind speed)

20. Rocky Mount, NC

Avg. tricennial change in storm wind speed, 1842 to 2022: +5.7%
No. events with 39+ mph wind speed, 1842 to 2022: 93 storms
Avg. storm event wind speed, 1992 to 2022: 54.5 mph
Strongest recorded storm: Hurricane Hazel 1954 (132.3 mph sustained wind speed)

19. Gastonia, NC

Avg. tricennial change in storm wind speed, 1842 to 2022: +5.7%
No. events with 39+ mph wind speed, 1842 to 2022: 38 storms
Avg. storm event wind speed, 1992 to 2022: 51.8 mph
Strongest recorded storm: Hurricane Hugo 1989 (97.8 mph sustained wind speed)

18. Chapel Hill, NC

Avg. tricennial change in storm wind speed, 1842 to 2022: +5.8%
No. events with 39+ mph wind speed, 1842 to 2022: 51 storms
Avg. storm event wind speed, 1992 to 2022: 55.2 mph
Strongest recorded storm: Hurricane Hazel 1954 (132.3 mph sustained wind speed)

17. Burlington, NC

Avg. tricennial change in storm wind speed, 1842 to 2022: +5.9%
No. events with 39+ mph wind speed, 1842 to 2022: 34 storms
Avg. storm event wind speed, 1992 to 2022: 58.5 mph
Strongest recorded storm: Hurricane Fran 1996 (74.8 mph sustained wind speed)

16. Apex, NC

Avg. tricennial change in storm wind speed, 1842 to 2022: +5.9%
No. events with 39+ mph wind speed, 1842 to 2022: 71 storms
Avg. storm event wind speed, 1992 to 2022: 53.9 mph
Strongest recorded storm: Hurricane Hazel 1954 (132.3 mph sustained wind speed)

15. Lauderhill, FL

Avg. tricennial change in storm wind speed, 1842 to 2022: +6.1%
No. events with 39+ mph wind speed, 1842 to 2022: 128 storms
Avg. storm event wind speed, 1992 to 2022: 94.2 mph
Strongest recorded storm: Hurricane Andrew 1992 (166.9 mph sustained wind speed)

14. Beaumont, TX

Avg. tricennial change in storm wind speed, 1842 to 2022: +6.1%
No. events with 39+ mph wind speed, 1842 to 2022: 129 storms
Avg. storm event wind speed, 1992 to 2022: 70.8 mph
Strongest recorded storm: Hurricane Laura 2020 (149.6 mph sustained wind speed)

13. Fayetteville, NC

*Photo by Granville Errol Casey on Unsplash*

Avg. tricennial change in storm wind speed, 1842 to 2022: +6.5%
No. events with 39+ mph wind speed, 1842 to 2022: 112 storms
Avg. storm event wind speed, 1992 to 2022: 59.8 mph
Strongest recorded storm: Hurricane Hazel 1954 (132.3 mph sustained wind speed)

12. Edinburg, TX

Avg. tricennial change in storm wind speed, 1842 to 2022: +6.5%
No. events with 39+ mph wind speed, 1842 to 2022: 64 storms
Avg. storm event wind speed, 1992 to 2022: 75.3 mph
Strongest recorded storm: Unnamed Hurricane 1933 (126.6 mph sustained wind speed)

11. Troy, NY

Avg. tricennial change in storm wind speed, 1842 to 2022: +6.9%
No. events with 39+ mph wind speed, 1842 to 2022: 19 storms
Avg. storm event wind speed, 1992 to 2022: 59.8 mph
Strongest recorded storm: Unnamed Hurricane 1938 (115.1 mph sustained wind speed)

10. Port Arthur, TX

Avg. tricennial change in storm wind speed, 1842 to 2022: +7.1%
No. events with 39+ mph wind speed, 1842 to 2022: 122 storms
Avg. storm event wind speed, 1992 to 2022: 75.0 mph
Strongest recorded storm: Hurricane Laura 2020 (149.6 mph sustained wind speed)

9. McAllen, TX

Avg. tricennial change in storm wind speed, 1842 to 2022: +7.3%
No. events with 39+ mph wind speed, 1842 to 2022: 57 storms
Avg. storm event wind speed, 1992 to 2022: 73.6 mph
Strongest recorded storm: Unnamed Hurricane 1933 (126.6 mph sustained wind speed)

8. Mission, TX

Avg. tricennial change in storm wind speed, 1842 to 2022: +7.7%
No. events with 39+ mph wind speed, 1842 to 2022: 38 storms
Avg. storm event wind speed, 1992 to 2022: 69.4 mph
Strongest recorded storm: Hurricane Allen 1980 (115.1 mph sustained wind speed)

7. Bonita Springs, FL

Avg. tricennial change in storm wind speed, 1842 to 2022: +8.1%
No. events with 39+ mph wind speed, 1842 to 2022: 169 storms
Avg. storm event wind speed, 1992 to 2022: 80.6 mph
Strongest recorded storm: Unnamed Hurricane 1935 (174.9 mph sustained wind speed)

6. Cape Coral, FL

*Photo by Possessed Photography on Unsplash*

Avg. tricennial change in storm wind speed, 1842 to 2022: +8.4%
No. events with 39+ mph wind speed, 1842 to 2022: 144 storms
Avg. storm event wind speed, 1992 to 2022: 81.8 mph
Strongest recorded storm: Unnamed Hurricane 1935 (166.9 mph sustained wind speed)

5. Kenner, LA

Avg. tricennial change in storm wind speed, 1842 to 2022: +8.6%
No. events with 39+ mph wind speed, 1842 to 2022: 116 storms
Avg. storm event wind speed, 1992 to 2022: 70.9 mph
Strongest recorded storm: Hurricane Ida 2021 (143.8 mph sustained wind speed)

4. Lehigh Acres, FL

*Photo by eberhard grossgasteiger on Pexels*

Avg. tricennial change in storm wind speed, 1842 to 2022: +10.3%
No. events with 39+ mph wind speed, 1842 to 2022: 175 storms
Avg. storm event wind speed, 1992 to 2022: 81.5 mph
Strongest recorded storm: Unnamed Hurricane 1935 (166.9 mph sustained wind speed)

3. Fort Myers, FL

Avg. tricennial change in storm wind speed, 1842 to 2022: +11.5%
No. events with 39+ mph wind speed, 1842 to 2022: 150 storms
Avg. storm event wind speed, 1992 to 2022: 84.3 mph
Strongest recorded storm: Unnamed Hurricane 1935 (166.9 mph sustained wind speed)

2. North Port, FL

Avg. tricennial change in storm wind speed, 1842 to 2022: +14.9%
No. events with 39+ mph wind speed, 1842 to 2022: 133 storms
Avg. storm event wind speed, 1992 to 2022: 78.0 mph
Strongest recorded storm: Unnamed Hurricane 1935 (157.7 mph sustained wind speed)

1. Port Charlotte, FL

Avg. tricennial change in storm wind speed, 1842 to 2022: +17.0%
No. events with 39+ mph wind speed, 1842 to 2022: 122 storms
Avg. storm event wind speed, 1992 to 2022: 82.7 mph
Strongest recorded storm: Unnamed Hurricane 1935 (157.7 mph sustained wind speed)