These 25 Cities Are Most at Risk of a Hail Storm This Week
https://climatecrisis247.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/06/4407926-150x150.jpgA powerful storm system is forecast to sweep through the central U.S. this week, bringing with it the potential for damaging hail across a wide swath of cities. While summertime thunderstorms are nothing new, forecasters are warning that this event could bring particularly large hailstones – some more than two inches in diameter – to densely populated areas from Illinois to Colorado to Kansas.
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Nationwide, there are 18 counties with at least a 30% chance of hail this week, representing over 700,000 Americans. Meanwhile, 239 counties have a 5% chance of tornadoes, affecting more than 19 million Americans, and 704 counties have a 15% chance of severe thunderstorms. A closer look at the data reveals the cities facing the biggest hail threat this week.
To determine the cities that could get hit worst by hail this week, Climate Crisis 247 reviewed data on hail probability from the National Digital Forecast Database of the NOAA’s National Weather Service. Cities were ranked based on the probability of experiencing hail or extreme hail – hailstones larger than two inches in diameter – within 25 miles of their border from June 18 to June 20, 2025. Probabilities for individual severe weather phenomena were normalized and combined into one index score. Supplemental data on the total value of owner-occupied homes and population are from the U.S. Census Bureau. Only cities with at least 40,000 residents were considered.
25. Oak Park, IL
- Probability of hail event in next 72 hours: 15.0%
- Probability of tornado in next 72 hours: 5.0%
- No. hail events, 1950-2024: 6 storms
- Value of all homes: $6.7 billion
- Population: 53,834
24. Cicero, IL
- Probability of hail event in next 72 hours: 15.0%
- Probability of tornado in next 72 hours: 5.0%
- No. hail events, 1950-2024: 2 storms
- Value of all homes: $3.1 billion
- Population: 84,189
23. Berwyn, IL
- Probability of hail event in next 72 hours: 15.0%
- Probability of tornado in next 72 hours: 5.0%
- No. hail events, 1950-2024: 0 storms
- Value of all homes: $3.4 billion
- Population: 56,556
22. Elmhurst, IL
- Probability of hail event in next 72 hours: 15.0%
- Probability of tornado in next 72 hours: 5.0%
- No. hail events, 1950-2024: 5 storms
- Value of all homes: $8.0 billion
- Population: 45,648
21. Lombard, IL
- Probability of hail event in next 72 hours: 15.0%
- Probability of tornado in next 72 hours: 5.0%
- No. hail events, 1950-2024: 11 storms
- Value of all homes: $3.9 billion
- Population: 44,055
20. Des Plaines, IL
- Probability of hail event in next 72 hours: 15.0%
- Probability of tornado in next 72 hours: 5.0%
- No. hail events, 1950-2024: 20 storms
- Value of all homes: $5.6 billion
- Population: 60,087
19. Moore, OK
- Probability of hail event in next 72 hours: 15.0%
- Probability of tornado in next 72 hours: 2.0%
- No. hail events, 1950-2024: 106 storms
- Value of all homes: $3.3 billion
- Population: 62,685
18. Broken Arrow, OK
- Probability of hail event in next 72 hours: 15.0%
- Probability of tornado in next 72 hours: 2.0%
- No. hail events, 1950-2024: 167 storms
- Value of all homes: $7.4 billion
- Population: 114,237
17. Arlington Heights, IL
- Probability of hail event in next 72 hours: 15.0%
- Probability of tornado in next 72 hours: 5.0%
- No. hail events, 1950-2024: 20 storms
- Value of all homes: $9.8 billion
- Population: 76,794
16. Mount Prospect, IL
- Probability of hail event in next 72 hours: 15.0%
- Probability of tornado in next 72 hours: 5.0%
- No. hail events, 1950-2024: 5 storms
- Value of all homes: $5.8 billion
- Population: 56,191
15. Tulsa, OK
- Probability of hail event in next 72 hours: 15.0%
- Probability of tornado in next 72 hours: 2.0%
- No. hail events, 1950-2024: 393 storms
- Value of all homes: $22.6 billion
- Population: 411,938
14. Midwest City, OK
- Probability of hail event in next 72 hours: 15.0%
- Probability of tornado in next 72 hours: 2.0%
- No. hail events, 1950-2024: 48 storms
- Value of all homes: $2.4 billion
- Population: 58,124
13. Norman, OK
- Probability of hail event in next 72 hours: 15.0%
- Probability of tornado in next 72 hours: 2.0%
- No. hail events, 1950-2024: 406 storms
- Value of all homes: $7.2 billion
- Population: 127,701
12. Stillwater, OK
- Probability of hail event in next 72 hours: 15.0%
- Probability of tornado in next 72 hours: 2.0%
- No. hail events, 1950-2024: 86 storms
- Value of all homes: $1.9 billion
- Population: 48,644
11. Edmond, OK
- Probability of hail event in next 72 hours: 15.0%
- Probability of tornado in next 72 hours: 2.0%
- No. hail events, 1950-2024: 124 storms
- Value of all homes: $9.7 billion
- Population: 94,503
10. Oklahoma City, OK
- Probability of hail event in next 72 hours: 15.0%
- Probability of tornado in next 72 hours: 1.8%
- No. hail events, 1950-2024: 915 storms
- Value of all homes: $41.1 billion
- Population: 681,088
9. Fort Smith, AR
- Probability of hail event in next 72 hours: 15.0%
- Probability of tornado in next 72 hours: 2.0%
- No. hail events, 1950-2024: 129 storms
- Value of all homes: $3.9 billion
- Population: 89,315
8. Lawton, OK
- Probability of hail event in next 72 hours: 15.0%
- Probability of tornado in next 72 hours: 0.0%
- No. hail events, 1950-2024: 220 storms
- Value of all homes: $3.0 billion
- Population: 91,023
7. Aurora, CO
- Probability of hail event in next 72 hours: 15.0%
- Probability of tornado in next 72 hours: 2.0%
- No. hail events, 1950-2024: 270 storms
- Value of all homes: $39.8 billion
- Population: 387,349
6. Castle Rock, CO
- Probability of hail event in next 72 hours: 15.0%
- Probability of tornado in next 72 hours: 2.0%
- No. hail events, 1950-2024: 71 storms
- Value of all homes: $12.3 billion
- Population: 74,065
5. Enid, OK
- Probability of hail event in next 72 hours: 15.0%
- Probability of tornado in next 72 hours: 5.0%
- No. hail events, 1950-2024: 143 storms
- Value of all homes: $2.0 billion
- Population: 50,961
4. Colorado Springs, CO
- Probability of hail event in next 72 hours: 15.0%
- Probability of tornado in next 72 hours: 2.0%
- No. hail events, 1950-2024: 690 storms
- Value of all homes: $50.2 billion
- Population: 479,612
3. Salina, KS
- Probability of hail event in next 72 hours: 15.0%
- Probability of tornado in next 72 hours: 5.0%
- No. hail events, 1950-2024: 75 storms
- Value of all homes: $2.1 billion
- Population: 46,734
2. Pueblo, CO
- Probability of hail event in next 72 hours: 15.0%
- Probability of tornado in next 72 hours: 2.0%
- No. hail events, 1950-2024: 149 storms
- Value of all homes: $6.5 billion
- Population: 111,430
1. Wichita, KS
- Probability of hail event in next 72 hours: 30.0%
- Probability of tornado in next 72 hours: 5.0%
- No. hail events, 1950-2024: 556 storms
- Value of all homes: $19.0 billion
- Population: 395,951
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