First ‘Disturbance’ of 2025 to Bring Heavy Rain to Florida, Carolinas

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The 2025 Atlantic hurricane season began on Sunday, and some parts of the country are already feeling its effects. As of Tuesday, the National Hurricane Center is tracking a weak low-pressure system off the southeastern coast identified as “Disturbance 1.” While the chances of the disturbance developing into a named tropical cyclone are below 10%, the system is poised to deliver heavy rainfall up and down the Atlantic coast.

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NOAA forecast data show that cities from Miami to Charleston could experience several inches of rain over the next 72 hours. Nationwide, there are 188 counties expecting at least two inches of precipitation, representing over 16 million Americans. The NWS has issued flood warnings in 48 counties, and flood watches in 244 counties. A closer look at the data reveals where the first hurricane disturbance of 2025 could bring heavy rains this week.

To determine the cities forecast to receive the most rain this week, Climate Crisis 247 reviewed data on quantitative precipitation forecasts from the National Weather Service of the NOAA. Cities on the Atlantic coast were ranked based on total forecast cumulative rainfall for the period June 4 to June 6, 2025. Only cities with at least 50,000 residents were considered. Population data is from the U.S. Census Bureau.

25. Largo, FL

Photo by Worm Funeral on Unsplash

  • Forecast cumulative rainfall for next 72 hours: 2.11 inches
  • Forecast average temperature for next 72 hours: 80.7°F
  • Population: 82,541
 

24. Clearwater, FL

Photo by Drew Dau on Unsplash

  • Forecast cumulative rainfall for next 72 hours: 2.14 inches
  • Forecast average temperature for next 72 hours: 80.2°F
  • Population: 116,984
 

23. Daytona Beach, FL

Photo by Will Forrester on Unsplash

  • Forecast cumulative rainfall for next 72 hours: 2.15 inches
  • Forecast average temperature for next 72 hours: 77.6°F
  • Population: 73,329
 

22. North Charleston, SC

Photo by Justin Lindemann on Unsplash

  • Forecast cumulative rainfall for next 72 hours: 2.15 inches
  • Forecast average temperature for next 72 hours: 75.3°F
  • Population: 115,755
 

21. Lehigh Acres, FL

Photo by Max Harlynking on Unsplash

  • Forecast cumulative rainfall for next 72 hours: 2.16 inches
  • Forecast average temperature for next 72 hours: 79.4°F
  • Population: 124,440
 

20. North Miami, FL

Photo by Ryan Loughlin on Unsplash

  • Forecast cumulative rainfall for next 72 hours: 2.17 inches
  • Forecast average temperature for next 72 hours: 81.3°F
  • Population: 59,854
 

19. Fontainebleau, FL

Photo by Sean Foster on Unsplash

  • Forecast cumulative rainfall for next 72 hours: 2.18 inches
  • Forecast average temperature for next 72 hours: 81.4°F
  • Population: 57,066
 

18. Palm Harbor, FL

Photo by Gelato Prod on Pexels

  • Forecast cumulative rainfall for next 72 hours: 2.20 inches
  • Forecast average temperature for next 72 hours: 79.8°F
  • Population: 61,589
 

17. Bradenton, FL

Photo by Joseph Corl on Unsplash

  • Forecast cumulative rainfall for next 72 hours: 2.21 inches
  • Forecast average temperature for next 72 hours: 80.6°F
  • Population: 55,795
 

16. West Palm Beach, FL

Photo by Richard Sagredo on Unsplash

  • Forecast cumulative rainfall for next 72 hours: 2.23 inches
  • Forecast average temperature for next 72 hours: 80.0°F
  • Population: 117,588
 

15. Westchester, FL

Photo by engin akyurt on Unsplash

  • Forecast cumulative rainfall for next 72 hours: 2.26 inches
  • Forecast average temperature for next 72 hours: 81.1°F
  • Population: 53,765
 

14. Jacksonville, FL

Photo by Kevin Snow on Unsplash

  • Forecast cumulative rainfall for next 72 hours: 2.31 inches
  • Forecast average temperature for next 72 hours: 77.7°F
  • Population: 950,203
 

13. North Port, FL

Photo by 12019 on Pixabay

  • Forecast cumulative rainfall for next 72 hours: 2.32 inches
  • Forecast average temperature for next 72 hours: 79.8°F
  • Population: 76,975
 

12. Port Charlotte, FL

Photo by Pixabay on Pexels

  • Forecast cumulative rainfall for next 72 hours: 2.38 inches
  • Forecast average temperature for next 72 hours: 79.6°F
  • Population: 63,913
 

11. Miami Beach, FL

Photo by Joël de Vriend on Unsplash

  • Forecast cumulative rainfall for next 72 hours: 2.38 inches
  • Forecast average temperature for next 72 hours: 82.1°F
  • Population: 82,400
 

10. Charleston, SC

Photo by Leo Heisenberg on Unsplash

  • Forecast cumulative rainfall for next 72 hours: 2.45 inches
  • Forecast average temperature for next 72 hours: 76.0°F
  • Population: 149,960
 

9. Miami, FL

Photo by Hector Falcon on Unsplash

  • Forecast cumulative rainfall for next 72 hours: 2.46 inches
  • Forecast average temperature for next 72 hours: 81.4°F
  • Population: 443,665
 

8. Palm Coast, FL

Photo by Keith Luke on Unsplash

  • Forecast cumulative rainfall for next 72 hours: 2.47 inches
  • Forecast average temperature for next 72 hours: 77.8°F
  • Population: 91,082
 

7. Kendall, FL

Photo by Tina Nord on Pexels

  • Forecast cumulative rainfall for next 72 hours: 2.50 inches
  • Forecast average temperature for next 72 hours: 80.9°F
  • Population: 78,402
 

6. Mount Pleasant, SC

Photo by Rachel Claire on Pexels

  • Forecast cumulative rainfall for next 72 hours: 2.57 inches
  • Forecast average temperature for next 72 hours: 76.1°F
  • Population: 90,945
 

5. Fort Myers, FL

Photo by Nick Adams on Pexels

  • Forecast cumulative rainfall for next 72 hours: 2.57 inches
  • Forecast average temperature for next 72 hours: 80.0°F
  • Population: 88,699
 

4. Cape Coral, FL

Photo by Pixabay on Pexels

  • Forecast cumulative rainfall for next 72 hours: 2.71 inches
  • Forecast average temperature for next 72 hours: 80.4°F
  • Population: 198,912
 

3. Homestead, FL

Photo by Ken Horkavy on Unsplash

  • Forecast cumulative rainfall for next 72 hours: 2.76 inches
  • Forecast average temperature for next 72 hours: 80.6°F
  • Population: 79,996
 

2. Sarasota, FL

Photo by Jeffrey Eisen on Pexels

  • Forecast cumulative rainfall for next 72 hours: 2.92 inches
  • Forecast average temperature for next 72 hours: 79.8°F
  • Population: 55,508
 

1. Bonita Springs, FL

Photo by Josh Sorenson on Pexels

  • Forecast cumulative rainfall for next 72 hours: 3.01 inches
  • Forecast average temperature for next 72 hours: 80.4°F
  • Population: 53,945
 

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