Lack Of EVs Means More Pollution

By Douglas McIntyre • January 7, 2025

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According to the EIA, 31% of U.S. energy-related carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions. There was hope that EV sales of cars and heavy vehicles would cut this substantially. This has not happened. And, because EV sales have lagged many projections, that number will not get better soon.

*The EV Push

*EV Winter Challenge

*A China EV Victory

The sales of true EVs (no hybrids) are expected to be 8% of total U.S. car and light truck sales in 2024. When the futures are all in, the sales of all vehicles are expected to be 16 million. An unusually large number of those will be large SUVs and pickups, so the industry’s carbon footprint may drop very little.

One of the other huge sources of CO2 is electricity. If anything, the surge of AI server farms will push this up. Fossil fuels and hydro-power still generate most electricity. Wind and solar generate very little. The need for these will rise.

Farm Hurdles

Agriculture is another large source of CO2. The number of animals raised by farmers, fertilizer, and rice production will not drop in an industry so critical to daily living and major exports.

There was hope for a surge in EV sales. The Biden Administration set a goal that 50% of all cars sold in the US by 2030 would be EVs at the impossible pace of adoption.