Climate Deaths Estimates Should Be 500,000
The WHO estimates that annual climate deaths by 2023 will be about 250,000. A new study says that figure is far too low.
Most of the deaths will be caused by heat stress and related diseases. The WHO numbers assume that some regions of the world hit a level where humans cannot survive on some days. New scientific research that has not been published will say, “The study will make projections from 2030 to 2100 under scenarios known as shared socioeconomic pathways, which model population, economic growth and greenhouse gas emissions.”
Temperature Points That Are Higher
New measurements will consider jumps of 3C, 4C, or 5C across the world and by the end of the century. Other work says that “Scientists estimate roughly a third of heat-related deaths can be attributed to global warming, with the risk most pronounced in Europe, Southeast Asia and the Latin American Pacific coast.” The count will be closer to 500,000 a year than 250,000.
As is almost always the case, the authors believe that changes made by government and industry could slow, or even reverse the death rates. Unfortunately although this point has been made over the last decade, it has been almost completely ignored.
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