AI Weather Forecasting Could Replace Humans

With cuts at NOAA, there is deep concern about the National Weather Service’s future role. AI may take part in its task, so the cut may not have as severe a result as expected. If AI-based forecasts work, they may become part of every weather service worldwide and, eventually, improve their ability to fulfill their missions. 

Two companies have already released AI forecasts. One of these is Nvidia’s FourCastNet. It has produced better results than one of the current widely used models–the generative AI-based weather prediction model that matches the accuracy of the gold standard in numerical weather prediction– ECMWF’s Integrated Forecasting System–orders-of-magnitude faster and more energy-efficiently.”

Google GraphCast, Nvidia FourCastNet

The other is from Google. GraphCast is an “AI model for faster and more accurate global weather forecasting.”

Other AI services are emerging. According to Axios, “Aardvark Weather offers what its creators call an “end-to-end AI forecasting system.” One of Google’s competitors is involved. “The new model is the result of an international effort among the University of Cambridge, Alan Turing Institute, Microsoft Research and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF).”

AI services will target many jobs, from middle management to software programming to fast food and retail checkout personnel. Weathermen have not been on the list–until now.

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